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Pattern Muddy March 2021

To be fair the warmth stayed the same or even decreased some too
We’ve completely lost any true cold air, if you want snow that’s exactly what you wanted to see was that sort of cold nearby, but now it’s marginal/modified stuff, we’ve completely lost the pacific driven cold, we’re so close getting that vortex in AK
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Indeed, Fro, King CAD won't be anything like last run.

Edit: So, let's look ahead to the 12Z. Any predictions? o_O
 
ECMWF is a classic example of why we lost all the cold, went from a AK ridge, to a suppressed one, to a AK trough 3ABE7B26-7EC4-40F5-B272-0520C5B5F9D3.gif2E57EF4E-0BD7-4421-84E6-3E39BC09BD07.gif
 
Doesn’t get below freezing the entire euro run here, looked like towards D10 it could have popped a EC trough with the rex block in the pacific but the Day 10 euro is unreliable
 
The chance of any wintry precip outside perhaps the foothills/mountains is extremely low, current snowpack across the N US is very poor, with barely any expected snow the next 4 days, this alone is a big red flag for a deeper cold CAD, not to mention its mid March when models show this
Oh and those areas have AN temps the next 3-4 days View attachment 78372View attachment 78373
Reality is we are quickly headed towards March 15th and after that chances are slim with Snowpack or not. Sure we can get get token flakes but a big snow for any one area in the south is few and far between.
 
March actually running 1.5 degrees below normal so far. Average high and low for today is 62/38 . Definitely not a very snowy temp combo...
Lows are -0.5F, highs are +0.7F, for +0.1F through 9 days. I think lows will end up being AN by the end of the month, highs will be interesting, very CAD dependent.
 
Lows are -0.5F, highs are +0.7F, for +0.1F through 9 days. I think lows will end up being AN by the end of the month, highs will be interesting, very CAD dependent.
Of course your area isn’t below average... Columbia to Raleigh is though. Interesting thing I noticed is that often times Columbia and eastern sc will match eastern nc anomaly wise while you screw heads will be above average or average or something . Also CAD is meaningless , you don’t live in a particularly CAD strong area !
 
Of course your area isn’t below average... Columbia to Raleigh is though. Interesting thing I noticed is that often times Columbia and eastern sc will match eastern nc anomaly wise while you screw heads will be above average or average or something . Also CAD is meaningless , you don’t live in a particularly CAD strong area !
Uh, what?
 
I wonder what the temperature is. Nearby stations are reporting 54, 51, 50, 43, 46, 43, all in like a 10mi radius
 
I feel like lasts nights CMC was on to something, let’s see what 12z stuff does but given the tendencies this winter it wouldn’t shock me
 
I've got 67F, KSPA across town with 66F. Excited to see how high we go. GSP forecast 74F as of now
 
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