Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

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If we can shift the shortwave that hands off to the EC towards the PH of Texas/heart of Texas and track it south ? unfortunately a further north solution atm is more likely given the SER poking up a bit, which is why I lean more ice with this sort of setup over snow, but there plenty of options View attachment 66733
While the SER is starting to poke a bit, I think there’s room for it to relax the closer we would get to this time period. Remember a couple days ago when it looked like we were going to sneak in a 60+ degree day next Tuesday?? Now we’re seeing it look like mid 50s may the highest KCLT goes. Obviously the blocking up north is helping with that.
 
If we can shift the shortwave that hands off to the EC towards the PH of Texas/heart of Texas and track it south ? unfortunately a further north solution atm is more likely given the SER poking up a bit, which is why I lean more ice with this sort of setup over snow, but there plenty of options View attachment 66733

This is actually what the GEFS is trending to

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Just strictly going by Climatology, I still think the north of 40 people will have snow followed by ice while those in the southern and central Piedmont will get both but with a much quicker changeover to ice. Far northern Ga and SC would be mostly ice but there is a long way to go yet and we will see several different solutions before this event occurs.