Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!

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This is going to bust big for western NC....total separation of precipitation fields. Supposed to get 2-4” tonight...moisture is dying to the south of Asheville and west. Looks like just a backend deal for a couple of hours tomm. Bummer!
 
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I’m not feeling too optimistic. Even though I’m under a winter storm warning, I can see a path to end up with almost nothing to show for it. Too much warm nose on the initial feed with maybe a burst of snow that doesn’t accumulate, dry slot/ drizzle in the middle, and the deform band fizzles so that I see light snow for a couple of hours that doesn’t accumulate much. Maybe get a heavy dusting to a 1/2” a couple of times. I really hope this doesn’t happen, but I’d give it a 50% chance of happening.
 
I’m not feeling too optimistic. Even though I’m under a winter storm warning, I can see a path to end up with almost nothing to show for it. Too much warm nose on the initial feed with maybe a burst of snow that doesn’t accumulat, dry slot/ drizzle in the middle, and the deform band fizzles so that I see light snow for a couple of hours that doesn’t accumulate much. Amber get a heavy dusting to a 1/2” a couple of times. I really hope this doesn’t happen, but I’d give it a 50% chance of happening.
I’m thinking that’s going to be the story for most in NC. Radar trends are definitely not good.
 
I’m not feeling too optimistic. Even though I’m under a winter storm warning, I can see a path to end up with almost nothing to show for it. Too much warm nose on the initial feed with maybe a burst of snow that doesn’t accumulate, dry slot/ drizzle in the middle, and the deform band fizzles so that I see light snow for a couple of hours that doesn’t accumulate much. Maybe get a heavy dusting to a 1/2” a couple of times. I really hope this doesn’t happen, but I’d give it a 50% chance of happening.
I think you are in a great spot, front end stuff and nice deform band too... you will be golden