NorthGaWinter4
Member
Maybe. Opening a thread is always the kiss of death
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January 11th-12th Southern Slider
- Thread starter DadOfJax
- Start date
I’d honestly wait to worry until the NC storm is over with, that’s when things clear up
JLL1973
Member
probably
Storm5
Member
Someone post the 18z sexy eps . HURRY
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Good thing the UKmet is really suppressed, because if it “wasn’t” I would think it has trended toward the EPS....
I think there is plenty of time to see how this one unfolds. Either more water in the GOM or over the SE (frozen or not)
A little cooler and it’s a pretty good hit across the south. It does what the Euro did yesterday when it wrapped up the big ULL over the plains. Good trend here as the UKmet can hint at what the Euro will show.
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Yep exactly, I don’t get the freakout ok this thread, every storm has “bad” runs, we still got a very favorable look early next week
Lol it’s like people don’t realize what happens with models .. and we’ve been through it year after year.. they show good runs they show bad runs .. we have a storm sliding south with cold air established.. if the year proves what it has been then this sucker is trending north west .. and if not then okay we have plenttttyyyyy to work with in the medium range alone to keep us busy
Euro is better this run through 120
Boing
And then I saw the next frame RIP
And then I saw the next frame RIP
Cold air damming on the euro
Another borderline event with a warm nose..... sigh
Do like seeing a closer 50/50 
Boom! North of I-85!
Totals:
We’re doing this all over again
Another ULL digging in 
Three for a dollar! please!
No freaking way, another winter storm after
Another one 
I’ll take POTENTIAL for 700
With all the storms, these areas really have racked up, lol 
Might be the weeniest euro run I’ve ever seen, 3 threats under 200 hours
Even with me noticing a warm nose in some runs, certainly like the look on the second storm, could really be a big deal, Euro/EPS sniffed out the first one FWIW
EPS is about to be juicy 
EPS is no bueno.
Not terrible but not the best, it’s further NW then 12z, almost makes me wish there was more shearing out of the wave atm 
NorthGaWinter4
Member
That’s not a bad look at all this far out!
Yeah, but it’s the only model that’s giving it any attention, and is the worse run yet.
NWMSGuy
Member
Few more shifts Northwest and Memphis might be sitting in the hot seat.
I’m not to worried yet, this is almost reminding me of the first system, even with the first one the EPS had a few bad runs but overall got better over time
What I don’t like is how far NW it is
NorthGaWinter4
Member
The EPS mean looks good at 162
That is great, get the perfect track and it torches. Haha.
The 6z GFS looks much better at H5. This run actually had a closer look to yesterdays 12z run at H5. Maybe we can start trending back to that sort of solution. The 6z GEFS had solutions from sheared out waves to amped up lows. IMO models are going to keep throwing out every solution until the Thursday-Friday system is over.
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Yeah I think the Euro solution is more likely and the GFS will play catch up. But surface temps like usual are a problem. We really need some colder air to work with and hopefully mid month provides that.