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Ostrich December

Got down to 18.9 this morning. A little fun fact. After my first 12 years of living up here I had never received more then a dusting of snow in November until last year. I have now had 2 straight Novembers of getting a half an inch last season and about an inch this year, both of which stayed on the ground for multiple days.

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BufordWX said:
Completely dropped them. I think it was 1-2 inches yesterday, but then models shifted northwest some overnight.
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Total snow accumulations of 10 to 15 inches
possible across parts of Harper, Ellis, Woodward and Woods
counties.

I need to see if I can find a webcam from these areas.
 
Dewpoint Dan said:
Total snow accumulations of 10 to 15 inches
possible across parts of Harper, Ellis, Woodward and Woods
counties.

I need to see if I can find a webcam from these areas.
Click to expand...
It’s a pretty wild storm. Started snowing up there early this morning I believe and it’s not supposed to end until mid-late tomorrow morning. Can we please have one of these setups in the southeast?
 
BackThePack said:
you (flip) flop more than a UNC point guard.
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Long range weather forecasting is hard. I did my best to lay out my thoughts earlier today and provide reasoning beyond simply just looking at the models. There’s a good reason not many people are willing to forecast 2-3+ weeks out even in a very general sense
 
Stephenb888 said:
How is this so when just earlier today people on here were talking about it being super cold all through December?
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In defense of Webber, he never said cold throughout. He said that the most likely scenario was cold until the solstice, then raging warmth. He said there was a less likely chance for cold until the end of the month if a stronger -NAO develops.
 
Will Rossman said:
In defense of Webber, he never said cold throughout. He said that the most likely scenario was cold until the solstice, then raging warmth. He said there was a less likely chance for cold until the end of the month if a stronger -NAO develops.
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In my defense, I also pinged HM and he also doesn’t know what’s going to happen beyond mid December so I’m not alone in my approach haha
 
Stephenb888 said:
Did one just develope?
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The most significant bout of negative nao is lurking next week imo, but details regarding its duration and intensity remain to be seen. NAO predictability is so dependent on individual cyclonic wave breaks in the N Atlantic jet that are rarely if ever easily predictable beyond 5-6 days which adds a ton of uncertainty thereafter
 
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