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Tropical Hurricane Zeta
- Thread starter Henry2326
- Start date
925s rocking too
The whole extratropical transition adds a kink as well.
RollTide18
Member
May be a dumb question but would that mean we're getting our own version of a nor'easter?
NAM is SE of the WRF, large area of 70-80knts at 925mb and 85-90knts at 850mb. Would hammer south AL into central GA.
I was just looking at that. That’s a nasty setup if right.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
It happened overnight as i recall. And i slept through all of it !
Showmeyourtds
Member
Irma was no fun here....lost power for only a few hours but I got to skewer the City Of Atlanta for a large water oak that fell in my yard that they said I couldn’t cut down 3 weeks prior. The trees have rights, but they don’t pay my property tax bill.
Would this effectively create its own gravity wave due to forward speed? I’m getting marginally concerned here with the 3.6 inches of rain I measured Saturday evening.
Would this effectively create its own gravity wave due to forward speed? I’m getting marginally concerned here with the 3.6 inches of rain I measured Saturday evening.
It happened overnight as i recall. And i slept through all of it !
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heh, I pretty much slept through all of March 93 here... I went to bed thinking all the forecasters were gonna bust, then I woke up around 6 am and had one of the biggest shocks of my life. Insane stuff.
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heh, I pretty much slept through all of March 93 here... I went to bed thinking all the forecasters were gonna bust, then I woke up around 6 am and had one of the biggest shocks of my life. Insane stuff.
The NAM would keep the highest winds to the SE. The WRF would hit the area you have and on NE well into GA.
that is ugly...
I know Zeta will be booking it once it goes into the GoM, but will it be as fast as Hurricane Nate? https://www.nola.com/news/weather/article_df51e3f7-c23d-584b-9b3b-5789334999a4.html
0z FV3 has sustained TS winds into Atlanta... Wow.
NorthGaWinter4
Member
Yeah and no one is talking about it.... Georgia is gonna be in for a rude awakening
Now it’s getting silly.
NorthGaWinter4
Member
This is becoming pretty concerning
Here are the 10m winds from same model... still 40 knot winds in the Atl metro is pretty serious stuff: 
Snowflowxxl
Member
This now has my full attention. Local media hasn’t said a word.
Here we go.
WELL THAT AINT GOOD. SEEMS LIKE THEY ARE GOING GFS/NAM ON THAT THINKING
Latest HWRF is off the rails. After hitting LA as almost a MH, it does this through AL.
Jrips2710
Member
For the Alabama folks
HMON not as crazy as the WRF but trending stronger across AL.
Jessy89
Member
The west trend we’ve seen is good for the Carolinas
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Claycochaser
Member
This is no good sir.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Avalanche
Member
Will this system send a squall line through the Carolinas as it rides up central TN?
The latest forecast track from the NHC actually has the center moving NE out of AL over north GA and basically right over the NC mountains. If it follows most Gulf TCs then there should be a line of heavy thunderstorms to the east and southeast of that center. Also by this point the storm could be getting infused with energy from the trough diving making it more extra tropical.
Jrips2710
Member
Still some pretty significant timing differences between the EURO/UKMET camp and the GFS. With that being said I’d probably bet on a corridor of 50-60mph gusts moving up the 85 corridor into the Atlanta metro area barring a change in track.
Jessy89
Member
That wind field is really expansive and south east of the center not right at the center. Still without being that close to the center Georgia and western Carolinas look windy
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Well keep in mind that the center at that point is actually over northern GA/ se TN, so it’s still fairly close by. Also you can see the jet stream starting to dive into the sw of Zeta’s center... which is converting it to extra tropical which in turn should expand the wind field to the east of southeast
That wind field is really expansive and south east of the center not right at the center. Still without being that close to the center Georgia and western Carolinas look windy
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gawxnative
Member
IMO to put into perspective the overall "feel" of Zeta is looking to be more in line with the impacts of Opal, rather than Irma for the Atlanta Metro. the path will of course be more SW to NE but Opal was a fast mover once landfall came and the wind impacts were both shorter term (6-8 hour) but much more "focused" to the right of center. As of know my call would be roughly 75 miles either side of I 85 to be the "hot spot" for wind damage
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Spann says he doesn't expect any widespread tree damage. Possibly gusts up to 40-45.
All depends on the strength. If this ramps up and has 100kts at 850mb, some of that higher wind will mix down in heavy precipitation.
WXinCanton
Member
I’d say if you’re with in 75 miles of I-85 through AL, GA, and the Carolina’s (probably not quite 75 miles in the Carolinas, I’d say 40 or so) you’re going to be looking at some substantial tree damage. I don’t think the Carolinas miss out due to the trough interaction, that should keep things quite gusty especially along 85.
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At this point I'm just kind of numb. Just bring Zeta on through already. Let's get this over with. A little wind, some rain. At least this one will be moving quickly up the I-59 corridor. And cool air is waiting on the other side of the storm tomorrow night.