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Wintry February 7-8 Winter storm

I just don't think this will be a big deal for anyone other than the mountains of N. GA and NC. Moisture is too limited. Temps are marginal, at best. Plus the ground is pretty warm and wet from all that rain.
 
WxWatch said:
I was reading the hazoerds weather outlook as well as the AFD from FFC, and they are saying the snow will be mostly for the mountains. They're being conservative, there's going to be accumlating snowfall outside of the mountains down towards the Atlanta metro. I'd expect to see a winter weather advisory issued at least, may even winter storm warnings for the mountains.
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Those are old products and discos so I'd wait for an official update from them. I think they'll issue advisories later this evening. There may even be a WSW for some counties.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Those are old products and discos so I'd wait for an official update from them. I think they'll issue advisories later this evening. There may even be a WSW for some counties.
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What are your thoughts on snow in north Georgia tomorrow? Even north metro?
 
atlweatherman said:
Is the euro best to rely on in short term situations like this? I would think the mess scale models would have a better handle on things within 12-24 hour period.


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Typically the euro is on the drier side of guidance while some of the CAM models are on the higher. When you blend it all together we are looking at generally a T-.1 qpf event.
 
ryan1234 said:
I just don't think this will be a big deal for anyone other than the mountains of N. GA and NC. Moisture is too limited. Temps are marginal, at best. Plus the ground is pretty warm and wet from all that rain.
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You would be suprised what these mini snow events can do. I'm expecting moderate to heavy snowfall that's going to fall for 5 hours max. If the snow is heavy enough, it will over come the warm ground temps. For road condtions, I'm expecting some issues, especially over bridges and overpasses, some roads in the mountains will be impassable. This mini snow storm has the potential of over performing IMO.
 
Nerman said:
HRRR seems to be running a little warmer overnight than the other models. I'm not sure what to make of it.
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It’s warm biased, lol, last week it showed me at 44 and rain 10 hours out only to change to 36 and RN/SN at hour 1-2, its mixing bias, especially with CADs/in situ CADs doesn’t help
 
JUDY said:
could someone on here tell if the southeast ridge will ever break down this winter
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To be honest it hasn’t been much of a problem most winter until of recent weeks ... now it’s a pain in our thorn but hopefully it can get beaten back by strong high pressures enough for some sloppy winter storms .. time will tell
 
Ron Burgundy said:
Temps been holding steady around 37-38 all day in north ATL. Can’t see us hitting the FFC grid forecast high of 43 at this point.
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Yup same here, I doubt the high here will reach 40. I also doubt the temps will warm all that much tomorrow if the clouds don't clear, and with snow cover for the area's that do get snowfall.
 
Ron Burgundy said:
Temps been holding steady around 37-38 all day in north ATL. Can’t see us hitting the FFC grid forecast high of 43 at this point.
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The highest I've gotten so far is 38, the airport has managed to get up to 41 right now. They probably have had more peaks of sunshine on the southside than up here on the northside where I am.

EDIT: The lowest I got was 36 so it's been between 36-38 all day despite some peaks of sunshine off and on.

EDIT #2: In it's early stage, not really wetter, but precip in AL is more consolidated instead of scattered. (HRRR)
 
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Which model showed this event first? Trying to remember but don't think it was the Euro.
 
Had on-and-off light snow showers and flurries here in NE Forsyth County (Ga.) this morning. I will admit I hadn't paid much attention to tomorrow's potential event until I grabbed lunch a few minutes ago.

Wow! One point from here I've noticed (that lets me get a bit more excited about tomorrow): We're going to bust on high temps here. I think we were forecast to hit 43. It's 37 outside.

Keep the great discussion coming. These little one can overperform. It would be fantastic to get something of some substance this winter.

--30--
 
The HRRR is a sight to drool over. Widespread 40 dbz rates for snow is something to love.
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I hate every HRRR run doesn't got out 36hrs. I wonder how different this would have been compared to 17z run.
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