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Pattern Microwave March

IMO, the place to be for this storm atm is in the western facing slopes of the Appalachians. Orographic lift combined w/ a strong Alberta Clipper coming from the NW is usually how the TN/western NC mountains get pounded
Yeah, I bet they easily see over a foot
 
0z para GFS appears to be a weak southern slider.
gfsp_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_23.png
 
Ridge keeps pumping a little higher each run on the GFS as HM mentioned on twitter this morning. 12z does the same.
 
Hell even northern tenn does well this run . Much weaker and further south like the CMC


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This may not be finished trending south, let's just hope it doesn't go poof on us (which I doubt it will but...)
 
Some mixing issues too it appears but some body is going to get a freaking paste job out of this imo
 
Further south again as the GFS is finally starting to realize the vortex over SE Canada won't move out nearly as quickly, and of course this causes the flow upstream to buckle and our storm dives further south. Keep in mind however, if this flow continues to amplify further, there's going to be an increasing risk for this turn the corner northward near the eastern seaboard... This may or may not be a good thing for the Carolinas, but certainly leaves the door open still for SE New England and Mid-Atlantic
 
Heavy snow/sleet mix at RDU... Output shows ~ 10", factor in warm ground temps that is liable to melt the first inch or two of snow/sleet and mixing, probably looking at 4-6" verbatim on this GFS run in RDU.
 
If anything close to that GFS run verified I swear to god I will be live on the southernwx facebook with the camera out of the window all day sunday

Cant steal all the air time I'll be live in Kentucky


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Dang, should I change my chase to NC lol? Don't know
 
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