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Severe March 1st Severe Weather Threat

Nice hole in the line approaching bham. Will we get skipped ? We are about to find out


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the line is about 15 miles nw of us right now......we seem to be in an area where storms "split" missing us either north or south but barely.
 
ForsythSnow said:
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SPC really upped the tornado risk for our area.
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Has Georgia approached the Significant probability level in recent past? Not sure if there is historical data I could query somewhere.
 
New SPC outlook expands the enhanced risk further eastward towards the I-95 corridor in NC, now includes Raleigh... The tornado risk increased a tad as well...
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Vols1 said:
Calling for more storms next Wednesday?
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Still way out there but with a powerful cold front moving in this time of year you have to watch. Looks similar to this setup with the best dynamics well to the north


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Latest 24 hour max updraft helicity aka rotating storm tracks per the SPC SSEO leaves a little bit to be desired for NC, that CIN is no good...hopefully cap erodes

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Jon said:
Latest 24 hour max updraft helicity aka rotating storm tracks per the SPC SSEO leaves a little bit to be desired for NC, that CIN is no good...hopefully cap erodes
d0535b82cd2f38d47cfe0b4e400a8761.jpg



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Jon - Here's hoping the whole system erodes before someone gets really hurt ... JMHO
Hoping for the best, and
Best as always!
Phil
 
pcbjr said:
Jon - Here's hoping the whole system erodes before someone gets really hurt ... JMHO
Hoping for the best, and
Best as always!
Phil
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I'm hoping the cap erodes so we get more severe storms ;) But yeah, I agree actually. Night severe is never good, really...you can't chase it so it's practically pointless.
 
Jon said:
I'm hoping the cap erodes so we get more severe storms ;) But yeah, I agree actually. Night severe is never good, really...you can't chase it so it's practically pointless.
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You get to dispense pain pills; I on the other hand ....
 
Jon said:
I'm hoping the cap erodes so we get more severe storms ;) But yeah, I agree actually. Night severe is never good, really...you can't chase it so it's practically pointless.
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I was hoping to see some evidence that the SPC was considering our area for a watch later, but it doesn't look all that great to me right now. They moved the Enhanced Risk area over us, but that was probably a bit overzealous.
 
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This severe weather is making feel like it's summer time. There was a 5 min. downpour and a clap of thunder - summer time weather.
 
Rain Cold said:
I was hoping to see some evidence that the SPC was considering our area for a watch later, but it doesn't look all that great to me right now. They moved the Enhanced Risk area over us, but that was probably a bit overzealous.
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CIN keeps rising, that should keep everything good away. Cap holding. Meh.

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Jon said:
CIN keeps rising, that should keep everything good away. Cap holding. Meh.

670a06a60ac03813735a039e86258b6b.jpg



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I think that was number 4 or 5 on my list in the other thread. :) :(
 
The HRRR readings for West Georgia and East Alabama its pretty darn health looking on Cape/Lift/Wind profiles
 
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Please let the HRRR be right that would be more precip than all of February

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