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Pattern Hotober
- Thread starter NorthDFWwx
- Start date
Full moon atop Mt Pisgah ?
bringing the good vibes home tomorrow
bringing the good vibes home tomorrow
Future radar,4AM! ??
pcbjr
Member
That's gonna be one heck of a walk down from the tower after dark!
Lol maybe I was misleading. We’re actually roughing it at the Inn.. Frying pan lookout tower in a couple of hours
Just picked up .32” from a shower which is more than I have combined for the last two months.
Nomanslandva
Member
Hoping we don't make it up to 80 in Burlington this afternoon, NWS has the triad at 83 today, although, I have noticed that there has been much more cloud cover to verify across NC.
9:15 satellite image
View attachment 24407
HRRR 9:00 initialization which makes it to 82
The NWS does actually mention this in their forecast discussion,
"With the mid-morning update, made some minimal changes to the hourly
temperatures, but also bumped up cloud cover with pretty widespread
cloud cover moving in from the west."
However, they are not too encouraged that this will make any difference in our temperatures,
"A band of mid and high clouds within the mid-upr ridge axis will
move across cntl NC today, but with partial sunshine that should
contribute to warm sector warming into 80-85 degree in most areas."
Even though this is being very optimistic, this is something that I just want to point out seeing in now-casting. If this forecast were to bust, I would think it would do so on the low side more-so than on the high side.
Edit: At least Orange County/Hillsboro west, RDU up to 77 GSO at 64
What's with the weird clouds off the SC coast in the top photo??
Fingers crossed
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
1/3" overnight. Finally something measurable. Looks like more on the way.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Woken up by loud thunder and a downpour!! Moderate rain for last 20 min
EDIT: still going and raining even harder. jackpot
EDIT: still going and raining even harder. jackpot
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A few showers around this morning but the models overall have backed way off up here
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First time I’ve heard the gutter running in nearly 2 months, actually some REAL rain
Mrgl for severe this afternoon. If we can get into the low 80s it might be game on for some decent storms
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Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk
6z October 13thFWIW Today's winter ensemble member highlights
06z 10/11
Nice ensemble member into texas #19 @Brent does this make it to your backyard?
18z 10/11 I believe this is the first member to make it into GA/AL that I know of at least outside of the much higher elevations #8
Here is tonight's ensemble member report, Quite a member #15, Large snow across east TN and the First member to make it to Bham. Even though It's just a dusting, there does seem to be a dusting as well over Mack, Jimmy and maybe Shetley in NW SC. I believe CLT gets some flurries on #18
I almost forgot @Brent this run you get 2 members, Lucky Duck
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That shows you that winter is coming soon.6z October 13th
Here is tonight's ensemble member report, Quite a member #15, Large snow across east TN and the First member to make it to Bham. Even though It's just a dusting, there does seem to be a dusting as well over Mack, Jimmy and maybe Shetley in NW SC. I believe CLT gets some flurries on #18
ForsythSnow
Moderator
GEFS cold bias FTW. What's the EPS got? Looks realistic and heats us up again.6z October 13th
Here is tonight's ensemble member report, Quite a member #15, Large snow across east TN and the First member to make it to Bham. Even though It's just a dusting, there does seem to be a dusting as well over Mack, Jimmy and maybe Shetley in NW SC. I believe CLT gets some flurries on #18
I almost forgot @Brent this run you get 2 members, Lucky Duck
Drizzle! Winning! 
Have had over .5 of rain so far today, best rain since a thunderstorm back in mid August
I'd have to think we've got at least 0.80-1.00 so far. Big time overperformer
EDIT: also worth noting the rain has kept temps down so far. Forecast high was 74 by NWS, its just 63 right now
EDIT: also worth noting the rain has kept temps down so far. Forecast high was 74 by NWS, its just 63 right now