Low to mid 70s for highs next week. Pretty incredible for Mid June.
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Pattern Juggernaut June
- Thread starter Tarheel1
- Start date
Brent
Member
60s for lows next week... can we keep this coming all summer? 
pcbjr
Member
Yes, in a word ... with luck and prayer and a non-land falling asteroid ...60s for lows next week... can we keep this coming all summer?
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Looks like a shower cam through here before I got home from work. TWC app has another storm coming through between 8 and 10 tonight.
Tomorrow into early Saturday will be the time for this area to start putting up big rain totals. Some convergent boundaries at the surface up to 700mb move into the area and pwats go sky high. I like the setup but I would be much more thrilled if I was in the area between I40 and the VA border where the biggest totals may be.
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Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
Shaggy
Member
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Sounds like a storm is brewing here. Just had some loud rumbles of thunder.
Shaggy
Member
I just had one of my worst storms in years. Nothing super strong in the wind department but I had atleast 5 strong downbursts and could smell broken trees. Precip was ridiculous and filled my neighbors ditch in no time. Totally caught me off guard as there was never a warning on the storm. I got a video or 2 I'm downloading.
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Shaggy
Member
Shaggy
Member
SPC latest update has expanded marginal risk a bit to the north to include east MS, almost all of AL, and west GA. Main risk is strong winds and maybe a spin up tornado.
pcbjr
Member
Mesoscale Discussion 1011
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0806 PM CDT Thu Jun 06 2019
Areas affected...east-central MS...central AL
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 070106Z - 070200Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Transient supercells will be capable of intermittent
strengthening of low-level mesocyclones with the strongest updrafts.
A brief/weak tornado is possible this evening. The isolated
character and magnitude of the threat will probably preclude the
need for a small tornado watch.
DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic shows a band of convection, from
north-central MS southeastward into west-central AL, with embedded
discrete cores immediately east of a surface low over east-central
MS. Surface observations show backed southeasterly surface winds
east of the ongoing convective activity. KBMX VAD show the
low-level winds acting to enlarge the hodograph (around 200 m2/s2
0-1km SRH). The 00z Birmingham, AL raob showed a very moist/deep
boundary layer with just over 100 J/kg MLCAPE, all located below
500mb. The equilibrium level (based on a 100mb mean parcel) is just
below the -20 degrees C level and would likely not support much
lightning with the stronger updrafts. The moist-adiabatic lapse
rate/pseudo tropical profile will not cool substantially during the
evening.
As a belt of modestly strong, southerly 850mb flow shifts northward
across central and then into north-central AL and northwest GA
through the late evening, expecting episodic strengthening of small
mesocyclones in the very moist airmass over far east-central MS in
the near term and later into parts of central AL. A brief/weak
tornado may accompany the strongest circulations.
Solid soundings based off the hrrr, it actually has areas of 500+ jkg of sfc cape with a very deep moist layer, LCLs at ground scraping levels, impressive low level hodo along with a impressive critical angle, and man that PWAT tho, where ever it rains with that type of moisture it will pourrrr, anyways if soundings like this verify nighttime tornadoes would probably be a issue
BHS1975
Member
I think 3” pwats will be a reality soon as the warming continues.
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Storm northwest of demopolis has some rotation 
