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Severe POSS SEVERE WEATHER STARTING 05-17-2019 and BEYOND

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN KIOWA AND NORTHEASTERN GREER COUNTIES...

At 524 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located near Mangum, moving northeast at 35 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Hobart, Mangum, Granite, Lone Wolf, Brinkman and Altus-Lugert Lake.
 
Whose bright idea was it to send a recon plane into that tornadic circulation at 6k elevation
 
Here's better video:



I first saw it on Schmitt's stream on livestormchasing, but I didn't know what to make of it and the stream had a hard time coming through, so I said it was a wedge tornado that was down.
 
Orion P3 flying into that circulation could be a disaster.
 
I usually sit on the sidelines during these outbreaks and let you guys run the show. But I just wanted to say that I really expected more to be going on, given all of the lead up, extreme parameters, etc. Has the real show not started yet? So far, it looks like we only have a couple of EF2s or so and a whole lot of mess on radar.
 
The HIGH RISK is not going to verify. The parameters the SPC put up today were used for events in the past that have been historic. The 95+/95+ had literally only been used ONCE in history. This is going to go down as one of the biggest bust of all time for the SPC. I realize there was tornadoes today and a lot of storms, but based on what the SPC put out today should have been MUCH LARGER. This is a good thing, but it still needs to be pointed out.
 
I usually sit on the sidelines during these outbreaks and let you guys run the show. But I just wanted to say that I really expected more to be going on, given all of the lead up, extreme parameters, etc. Has the real show not started yet? So far, it looks like we only have a couple of EF2s or so and a whole lot of mess on radar.

Its not living up to the hype.....so far at least.....most storms are struggling to produce tor's and the ones that do drop are short lived.....still there is a solid 2-5 hr window left for craziness to happen....
 
I usually sit on the sidelines during these outbreaks and let you guys run the show. But I just wanted to say that I really expected more to be going on, given all of the lead up, extreme parameters, etc. Has the real show not started yet? So far, it looks like we only have a couple of EF2s or so and a whole lot of mess on radar.

Still seems like a dangerous situation, but I guess there have not been as many tornadoes or big tornadoes as expected based on what the SPC said. Maybe you can call that a bust, but it has still produced several tornadoes. Of course, here it would be a bust the other way since we only get severe storms and tornadoes when we're not under a watch.
 
I usually sit on the sidelines during these outbreaks and let you guys run the show. But I just wanted to say that I really expected more to be going on, given all of the lead up, extreme parameters, etc. Has the real show not started yet? So far, it looks like we only have a couple of EF2s or so and a whole lot of mess on radar.
That’s the way the cookie crumbles 9/10 on hyped weather events. Rain, snow, heat, tornado. It never meets expectations. And 9/10 that’s a good thing. Unless it’s snow then it’s a bad thing especially if I don’t get my forecasted 6-8”
 
That’s the way the cookie crumbles 9/10 on hyped weather events. Rain, snow, heat, tornado. It never meets expectations. And 9/10 that’s a good thing. Unless it’s snow then it’s a bad thing especially if I don’t get my forecasted 6-8”

Yeah, the forecast is only going to be as good as the data behind it. I think the parameters that used to give us certain weather when it comes to big storms, either severe or winter storms, just are not the same anymore, and the computer models are just going to be wrong more often than not when it comes to anything other than mundane weather.
 
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