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Wintry April Fools? (1-2) Surprise Storm

For places like Mount Airy NC and back down to Hickory NC...winter storms often fail to materialize if there is no moisture established prior to the Appalachian Mountains. It’s difficult to get it to form east of Atlanta, Georgia and have it thrown back north west. This is where places like Charlotte NC become more favored IMO. My ground zero spot would be between Concord and Albemarle for accumulating heavy wet snow.
 
I don’t care if this busts ? anyways this is a first call and actually the first snow map I’ve ever made, I have those question marks becuase areas farther west could have a shot with this, anyways I’m a noob at this so sorry if this map sucks lol, in faxt give some constructive criticism to this map so I can get better with this type of stuff
C9439D71-F002-4ABC-8001-6F40F5EC0F49.jpeg
 
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Webberweather53 said:
This is my favorite line, echoing most everyone's sentiment here.

"The question remains...where was this system back in February?"
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We had a system like this, I think it was January but it was suppressed OTS unfortunately lol. Just our luck to get the perfect track in early April.
 
And whaaddooo you know, so far looking similar to the 12z NAM, energy at H5 is extremely important in this event, timing this run so far has been just a tad faster, but see the difference it makes
 
GaWx said:
I’ll help. The NAM tends to significantly overdo qpf. Is qpf up a lot vs earlier runs? Often it is twice as heavy as reality when it is much heavier than other models.
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This year it has actually been somewhat to dry with qpf, for example that ice event back in January, but I think it’s probably overdone here, also this snow is gonna be paste, so 10:1s aren’t that useful anyways
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
This year it has actually been somewhat to dry with qpf, for example that ice event back in January, but I think it’s probably overdone here, also this snow is gonna be paste, so 10:1s aren’t that useful anyways
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You only get paste when part of the column is above freezing. The soundings don't support that. If the thermals are correct this could be greater than 10:1
 
Cad Wedge NC said:
The entire column is solidly below freezing. Even at the surface it is at freezing. I don't see this map as being accurate at all. How's it not going to accumulate?
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That image is a liquid to snow ratio image. It shows the rain:snow ratio and not accumulations. Such as 10:1 etc
 
All the NAM products over did the "event" we had here in GA earlier this month? Whatever the hell was the one I wasted my time driving to Macon for. Had like 2-4 inches and it didnt even snow there.
 
Cad Wedge NC said:
You only get paste when part of the column is above freezing. The soundings don't support that. If the thermals are correct this could be greater than 10:1
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I’m closer to the R/S line tho, anyways good lift in the DGZ, but a very close sounding17CA8695-0E71-4B97-BA0F-36C15601F61F.png
 
0Z FV3 is heaviest in many runs but beware of the fake TT snow:
2C5953DC-4821-4425-8816-FD5F35AAD749.png
 
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