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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

If next February is remotely as warm as this year, we may need to adjust our expectations for winters in North GA. It’s basically December and January. February is the new mid March.


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I put this in Fab Feb but thought it could go here as well. Could everything and everyone been more wrong. I don't know enough four letter words to describe Feb or Winter as a whole in the B'ham metro.

FEBRUARY FACT: It was a mild and wet February across Alabama. One interesting factoid is that the Birmingham Airport did not fall below 32 degrees during the month of February. This is the first time since records began in Birmingham that the temperature did fall below freezing in February.
 
MRStorm said:
I put this in Fab Feb but thought it could go here as well. Could everything and everyone been more wrong. I don't know enough four letter words to describe Feb or Winter as a whole in the B'ham metro.

FEBRUARY FACT: It was a mild and wet February across Alabama. One interesting factoid is that the Birmingham Airport did not fall below 32 degrees during the month of February. This is the first time since records began in Birmingham that the temperature did fall below freezing in February.
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All the cold weather stayed out west. LA never reached 70 for the first time since records began.
https://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-cold-february-20190228-story.html
 
Not sure, but I'm thinking about chasing Sunday, snow that is. Either north Arkansas/South Mo. Or kentucky, any suggestion?
 
Let's go ahead and get this out of the way:

GFS small changes no-go
FV3 still suppressed no-go
CMC terrible model no-go
Euro slight improvement with trough no-go

On to the 18Zs.
 
Rain Cold said:
Let's go ahead and get this out of the way:

GFS small changes no-go
FV3 still suppressed no-go
CMC terrible model no-go
Euro slight improvement with trough no-go

On to the 18Zs.
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Can we have a cliffs notes thread that includes this so i don't have to read through the other threads

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SD said:
Can we have a cliffs notes thread that includes this so i don't have to read through the other threads

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ForsythSnow said:
Lol that isn't a bad idea actually. Have a summary of each model run in a given suite in one post.
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Think bigger. We could really just go ahead and skip down to the end of winter at the beginning of December and take it from there:

Temp anoms: >+3
Snowfall: Much below average
Indexes: -EPO +NAO Mostly unfavorable MJO
December: 2 mixed winter events transitioning to rain with the biggest impacts just north and west of a line from SD to RC
January: 1 mixed event
February: Lol
March: A snowflake
April-May: Very -NAO, cool. No thunderstorms
June-September: Hot, humid, no hail for you. Hope for a hurricane. Dry air entrainment, high shear, sorry.
October: Dry. Optimism soars
November: Confusion over whether cold November means cold winter or the opposite

Repeat.
 
Rain Cold said:
Think bigger. We could really just go ahead and skip down to the end of winter at the beginning of December and take it from there:

Temp anoms: >+3
Snowfall: Much below average
Indexes: -EPO +NAO Mostly unfavorable MJO
December: 2 mixed winter events transitioning to rain with the biggest impacts just north and west of a line from SD to RC
January: 1 mixed event
February: Lol
March: A snowflake
April-May: Very -NAO, cool. No thunderstorms
June-September: Hot, humid, no hail for you. Hope for a hurricane. Dry air entrainment, high shear, sorry.
October: Dry. Optimism soars
November: Confusion over whether cold November means cold winter or the opposite

Repeat.
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giphy.gif
 
Rain Cold said:
Let's go ahead and get this out of the way:

GFS small changes no-go
FV3 still suppressed no-go
CMC terrible model no-go
Euro slight improvement with trough no-go

On to the 18Zs.
Click to expand...

And with that I bid you all adieu. Enjoy your summers and come back in October when hope springs eternal!


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Rain Cold said:
Think bigger. We could really just go ahead and skip down to the end of winter at the beginning of December and take it from there:

Temp anoms: >+3
Snowfall: Much below average
Indexes: -EPO +NAO Mostly unfavorable MJO
December: 2 mixed winter events transitioning to rain with the biggest impacts just north and west of a line from SD to RC
January: 1 mixed event
February: Lol
March: A snowflake
April-May: Very -NAO, cool. No thunderstorms
June-September: Hot, humid, no hail for you. Hope for a hurricane. Dry air entrainment, high shear, sorry.
October: Dry. Optimism soars
November: Confusion over whether cold November means cold winter or the opposite

Repeat.
Click to expand...

No hail but there is always strong dry air entrainment for thunderstorms downdrafts that allows for microbursts every single day in the summer ??‍♂️
 
Snowflowxxl said:
Me trying to rationale why there is 10x the post in the March thread vs. the Severe thread
View attachment 17072
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If you look at the post it’s mainly NC people since they are the only ones with even a small chance to see winter weather but I think it’s even slim for them too.


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metwannabe said:
41 and pouring at least it's not in the 30's and raining.... progress I suppose

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At least we can find a little comfort in the fact that these CADs will probably save our bacon many times over from the inevitably absurd heat at various points in the summer. Summer CAD and the extremely deep & cold domes in the winter that yield significant SN/IP are the only ones I care much for.
 
Like I said before and I'll say again it's not going to snow in the southeast for the remainder of the winter stick a fork in it this winter is going to also go down as one of the worst Winters in the south as a whole... And don't nobody dare bring up the March of 93 known as the storm of the century and yes the 92-93 winter was disastrous here in Alabama until that storm came...y'all don't shoot the messenger carry on
 
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