Wintry Feb 19-20 Possible Front-End Snow/Ice Thump

[NickyBGuarantee]

I smell a 1040 HIGH ... chilly

 

[POWERSTROKE]

Its 38 degrees and full sunshine in winston salem. Better get here soon

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Were you forecast to get rain today or was it supposed to hold off until tonight? We are supposed to be dry until after 8:00 pm. There's that little batch to the south, but I'm not sure it holds together long enough to move in here.

Our rain chances were practically zero. It was supposed to be cloudy. Forecast said dry but we had to send our guys home this morning because it’s pouring cold rain. Weather forecasting sucks these days

 

[southernskimmer]

Was sleeting pretty good as I came into work in Indian Trail, NC this morning. Made me realize how much I miss snow.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I know weather models are “tools” but which “tool” was telling us today was going to be a washout..?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Wow my friend in albemarle NC east of Charlotte says it’s been snowing for a little while and they have huge wet fat flakes .. he also says it’s accumulated about an inch now

 

[Metwannabe]

Its 38 degrees and full sunshine in winston salem. Better get here soon

Yeah clouds have divided the state .... needs to make some northward progress

 

[snowlover91]

I know weather models are “tools” but which “tool” was telling us today was going to be a washout..?

The 6z RGEM actually seems to match up with radar fairly well.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

The 6z RGEM actually seems to match up with radar fairly well.

View attachment 15984

Is that what it thought radar would look like at 9-10?

 

[SD]

I know weather models are “tools” but which “tool” was telling us today was going to be a washout..?

They all pointed to it.....

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[snowlover91]

Is that what it thought radar would look like at 9-10?

That's the 1 hour precip rate and filters out the virga, I'm not aware of a sim radar feature for the RGEM. This map matches up fairly well overall though with the radar and areas seeing precip but it is still too dry for SC and NC. The Fv3 sim radar actually looks like it did decent too.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

They all pointed to it.....

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LOL I had a 0% chance of rain til later tonight. I’m a utility contractor and work outside..I told my guys to come in this morning then had to send them right back home because it was puking cold rain ?‍

 

[cyclogent]

Measurable sleet at CHA this morning. Enough to cover deck, cars, etc. Has already melted though.

CHA raw obs



.

 

[snowlover91]

LOL I had a 0% chance of rain til later tonight. I’m a utility contractor and work outside..I told my guys to come in this morning then had to send them right back home because it was puking cold rain ?‍

Did you see any sleet?

 

[Webberweather53]

this lines up well with the current area of precip

View attachment 15981

If the models are underdone on the precip again later tonight with even more frontogenetical forcing, might actually see a legit burst of snow/sleet around here.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

New frame

 

[Rain Cold]

I know weather models are “tools” but which “tool” was telling us today was going to be a washout..?

The @SD model handled this one pretty well....at least down there so far.

 

[SD]

LOL I had a 0% chance of rain til later tonight. I’m a utility contractor and work outside..I told my guys to come in this morning then had to send them right back home because it was puking cold rain

Where did you get said forecast?

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[Tarheel1]

LOL I had a 0% chance of rain til later tonight. I’m a utility contractor and work outside..I told my guys to come in this morning then had to send them right back home because it was puking cold rain ?‍

In Greer on WH @ Lowes, currently heavy graupel or the biggest sleet in recorded history! Crunchy on some wooden steps!! Win

 

[Rainforrest]

Heavy sleet and snow here.