Wintry Feb 19-20 Possible Front-End Snow/Ice Thump

[Webberweather53]

Well, I think the overall sentiment here is at least it's better than nothing, hopefully we end up with a heavy band of precip on the front-end to take advantage of what cold air will be in place at the onset over the traditional CAD areas of VA, & NC, SC, & NE GA.

Let's at least reel some token flakes/sleet pellets in

 

[Webberweather53]

12z Euro tried to throw the I-20 corridor of GA & SC a bone.

Would be nice to see Atlanta & Columbia pick up at least some flakes or sleet pellets.

 

[ForsythSnow]

12z Euro tried to throw the I-20 corridor of GA & SC a bone.

Would be nice to see Atlanta & Columbia pick up at least some flakes or sleet pellets.
View attachment 15860

I have to wonder if it's just sleet over here in GA. Seems to be that way and for flakes I would guess to be limited to the mountains and the upper half of NC.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Euro ensembles improve any?

 

[Webberweather53]

I have to wonder if it's just sleet over here in GA. Seems to be that way and for flakes I would guess to be limited to the mountains and the upper half of NC.

This GFS sounding for 12z Wed is within reach to see a few token flakes if the column fully saturates and we see a bit more cold/dry advection at the onset. More likely to be sleet or sleet/rain than snow at the onset given how quickly the warm nose arrives, only way we really get anything is with a heavy band of precip on the front-end.

 

[Webberweather53]

Euro ensembles improve any?

Virtually the same as the last cycle

 

[Spurs up]

12z Euro tried to throw the I-20 corridor of GA & SC a bone.

Would be nice to see Atlanta & Columbia pick up at least some flakes or sleet pellets.
View attachment 15860

omg yes! Im so desperate I'll take dem flurries in a hesrtbeat!

 

[snowlover91]

The RGEM ensembles are very bullish on mixed/icy precip for a good chunk of NC.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Weird, CAD looks a little bit more entrenched this run but it’s a tiny bit warmer on NAM 12km

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Now it looks the same as last run, nvm

 

[Brick Tamland]

I just want a threat for a possible delay Wednesday morning for work.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

We need that fronto band here (nc) to cool down the column and have a better chance of flakes before WAA comes screaming in

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

18Z NAM keeps it below freezing here through 18Z Wednesday.

 

[BufordWX]

18z ICON has what looks like a little snow for northern AL Tuesday morning.

 

[IWC]

Just as long as it's Frozen...

 

[Myfrotho704_]

FV got colder this run, lol, has a ice event for much of western nc, still likely to cold

 

[Metwannabe]

Some happy hour clown maps.... FV3 definitely colder than the GFS, another CAD cold bias?

 

[Metwannabe]

Slight increase on the 18z gefs over the 12z

 

[Cad Wedge NC]

Slight increase on the 18z gefs over the 12z

Probably a couple of ridiculous members skewing the mean.

 

[Metwannabe]

Probably a couple of ridiculous members skewing the mean.

Not too much, I mean one or two bigger but most are showing some sort of frozen precip for NW/W NC... Now if I were up in Va I'd be feeling pretty good