It appears a series of disturbances along a stalled out boundary and active jet stream will result in heavy rainfall and & potential flooding. 
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Severe Flooding 2/18-21, 2019
- Thread starter stormcentral
- Start date
Latest 7 Day QPF NOAA WPC
Wulfer
Member
We're going to need to build another ARK in Chattanooga. One can only imagine what this would have been like had in been colder for snow.
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Dry...
Models continue with a flood threat
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
Glad to see someone got a thread going for this. It's not snow but hey Biblical flooding could be interesting to track also ??
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
We toss because I only get 6in and not 10 or more
Wulfer
Member
LOL Chattanooga gets the bulleye for this one but, we go bone dry when snow is near.
snowlover91
Member
The amount of rain forecasted through hour 240 by the GEFS is pretty crazy.
Latest WPC 7 day QPF is 7 inches plus for Huntsville and Chattanooga ,and if you zoom in there are a few pixels with 10 inches plus in extreme north GA and southwest NC. TVA is going to be busy to say the least.
cd2play
Member
Another concern is what if this pattern locks in for months?
ForsythSnow
Moderator
I doubt it will. If anything, I'd say 2 weeks max. However that is still a lot of rain. We need to get out of this El-Nino before we start setting rainfall records again for the wettest year.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Oof.
pcbjr
Member
So, let's see ... Rain maps for Noah are gonna verify ... but snow maps don't and haven't ...
Oh well, live, learn, and frankly ... laugh ...
Oh well, live, learn, and frankly ... laugh ...
Rosie
Member
I will pass!
Huntsville sucks at anafrontal flurries but they’re damn good at rain. That’s a beastly rain map. Good grief
This is definitely a huge concern for those getting the direct hit with such high totals, but the coastal plain areas have to have all of this water pass through their areas before its out to sea. The flat areas cannot handle this type of water coming downstream.
pcbjr
Member
Agree with the analysis, but it hasn't happened yet ... anymore than snow ...
IVE GOT THE WADERS AND CANOE READY SO I CAN GET TO WORK
Cad Wedge NC
Member
I agree. This has not happened yet folks. With that being said, it does look ominous.
Models have been fairly consistent in the area and most if not all have concerning totals. Its eye catching for sure.
Its going to be hard for some areas to miss out on big totals in this setup
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https://www.weather.gov/ffc/atlanta_floods_anniv
Lived here since 78 and have never seen anything close to 09 flooding !
Lived here since 78 and have never seen anything close to 09 flooding !
Snowflowxxl
Member
Atlanta got like 20+ inches of rain in that event, so I would say very unlikely
Oops
Snowflowxxl
Member
Even worse than the 18z! 10+ for a lot of folks over that time period.
Snowflowxxl
Member
ICON has ATL over 10 inches of rain by next Friday...
BufordWX
Member
00z Euro has 8-10 inches of rain accross most of northern Ms, Al, and Ga in the next 10 days!
EURO 00Z TOTAL PRECIP
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
7 day WPC rainfall accumulation:
If this much rain comes to fruition next week as forecasted there will be many school systems shut down in our area probably starting next Wednesday. Today we have several school systems closed due to sickness. Add in potential flooding and they could possible use up all the snow days built in. It could be a short Spring break or extended school year for many.
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Sent from my XT1710-02 using Tapatalk
NEW 06Z GFS TOTALS.. THEY ARE DOWN A TAD BUT STILL A LOT OF WATER
AND THE 06Z FV3 NEW TOTALS
Wulfer
Member
10 to 11 inches is down a tad??? I don't even want to talk about what the FV3 is spitting out for us.... I think that model thinks Chattanooga is an Island off the coast of the Atlantic Ocean!
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