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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

#troll still 60 degrees lol

...BRIEF MIX OF RAIN, SNOW, AND SOME SLEET EARLY THIS MORNING...

A band of light to briefly moderate precipitation will move across
portions of North Texas early this morning. A mixture of rain,
snow, and even some sleet can be expected with this precipitation.
Any accumulations should be minor, quick, and confined to grassy
surfaces, given marginal surface temperatures. Areas near the Red
River will be the most likely to see any such accumulations.

While significant road impacts from this band are not expected,
slow down if encountering heavier precipitation. Additionally,
wind gusts up to 40 mph may accompany these showers, briefly
reducing visibility.

This band should reach a Breckenridge to Bowie line around 2 am,
DFW to Sherman line around 4 am, and a Paris to Sulphur Springs
line around 6 am.
 
The night shift at FFC must've got into the wine...lmao. What is this?! Flurries across North GA in the 50s and 60s for Saturday and a moon in the south part of the state...lol.
 

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Go read the Feb thread from last winter starting with last week of Jan. Epic cold and snow was coming ... and we ended up with historically warm Feb.

This is different though. :rolleyes:
 
I still get clipper rain on the 27th, per 6z GFS! Pattern loaded
 
Brrrrrrrrr... deadly cold wave incoming! 124A0EF8-9470-4919-8412-8AEF3A8EA13F.png
 
Good way to bring in freezing Fab Feb!EA559E93-9DA3-4A81-BCE5-DE0692DC15E6.png
 
This sums up the runs last night.
giphy.gif
 
Since we don't actually have any legitimate threats to look at for the moment, let's reminisce in a big storm that happened OTD in 1955 that actually did not screw over the Triangle and was followed up by a couple more storms which also surprisingly weren't total screw jobs in RDU!

Sadly, this ended up being one of the few legitimately snowy winters of the 1950s, most of the rest of the decade sucked much like the 1990s!

January 18-19 1955 NC Snowmap.png

January 23-24 1955 NC Snowmap.png

January 27-29 1955 NC Snowmap.png
 
Since we don't actually have any legitimate threats to look at for the moment, let's reminisce in a big storm that happened OTD in 1955 that actually did not screw over the Triangle and was followed up by a couple more storms which also surprisingly weren't total screw jobs in RDU!

Sadly, this ended up being one of the few legitimately snowy winters of the 1950s, most of the rest of the decade sucked much like the 1990s!

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Back to the Future! MCFLY!!!!
 

Look at where the SE Canada vortex is in later runs w/o a -NAO, it's all connected. In order to get a -NAO out of this pattern, you need the vortex in SE Canada to dig and push the corresponding storm track further south like it did in prior runs. Sustainable and strong negative NAOs occur often in conjunction with Atlantic-based SSWEs (here ours was in the Pacific which argues for transient, weaker -NAO) and particularly when a series of cyclonic wave breaking in the North Atlantic pushes the eddy momentum fluxes and waveguide to the south
 
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