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Severe Two-Part Severe Weather Threat 1/19 & 1/21 - 1/22

WeatherDawg87 said:
The February 13, 2000 outbreak was more towards the Albany area. If you've ever lived in South Georgia, you know that there's basically a demarcation line in terms of climate between the general Valdosta area and the Albany area. Storms routinely weaken in intensity between the two locales and this is highly unprecedented for our area.
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Ye to me looks like there was a much more easterly motion component than is normal for that area. .. And you are corrent the 200 axis was towards Albany
 
WeatherDawg87 said:
The February 13, 2000 outbreak was more towards the Albany area. If you've ever lived in South Georgia, you know that there's basically a demarcation line in terms of climate between the general Valdosta area and the Albany area. Storms routinely weaken in intensity between the two locales and this is highly unprecedented for our area.
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I was born and raised in Valdosta and this all takes me back. So different down there compared to here in Lavonia. Seems we were always getting in the hallway and seeing pine trees uprooted and thrown like pickup stix. It was the norm. Probably why I am so scared of Tornados to this day and have no big trees around my house. Speaking of Albany... They got hit hard a few weeks ago. So scary for all. I hope it doesn't get too bad here but going to lock my chickens up just in case. Everybody on here plz be safe.
 
Some pics that WALB was showing.. Many 'metal building shreaded. but also saw site built homes with all interior walls down/gone
 
Lots of SB cape building in the northern half of Al....storms should really start firing there pretty soon
 
Wildboutsnow said:
I was born and raised in Valdosta and this all takes me back. So different down there compared to here in Lavonia. Seems we were always getting in the hallway and seeing pine trees uprooted and thrown like pickup stix. It was the norm. Probably why I am so scared of Tornados to this day and have no big trees around my house. Speaking of Albany... They got hit hard a few weeks ago. So scary for all. I hope it doesn't get too bad here but going to lock my chickens up just in case. Everybody on here plz be safe.
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I went to college at the University of Georgia and the climate of NE Georgia is definitely unique (mainly due to the CAD) compared to the rest of the state. I used to tell people up there that severe weather season was always a probability year round in Valdosta! Is it safe to say "Go Cats" to you or did you attend that other school located off of Norman Drive?:)
 
Per the HRRR, what the... Closed eye?
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sfcwind_mslp.us_se.png
 
WeatherDawg87 said:
I went to college at the University of Georgia and the climate of NE Georgia is definitely unique (mainly due to the CAD) compared to the rest of the state. I used to tell people up there that severe weather season was always a probability year round in Valdosta! Is it safe to say "Go Cats" to you or did you attend that other school located off of Norman Drive?:)
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LOL! I did go to the other school. My boyfriends were cats though and I worked at the Wooden Nickle. Oh do I miss Camel Riders and Fried Mushrooms. It seems that the weather was worse when I was younger and when I moved to Athens it was just the best place in the world. I will never trade the snow and less tornadoes for rattle snakes and pine trees breaking for anything! Love this part of country! Even though I leave it to all the folks on here about details of weather and learn little by little, I think the CAD is what keeps us from some bad weather but also messes up the snow? Weather is great!!!
 
Summerdale AL large hail right now, 2 in size. WOW what a season for storms. Praying for those in south GA who lost love ones through these storms
 
I must say, I am a little (cautiously optimistic) pleased at looking at the latest models. NAM, 4KM NAM, HRRR.....There seems to almost be a disconnect with the CAPE and shear combo around here. It looks like NFL, and SGA def have the best parameters for this today. *I am south of macon, btw....I wouldn't let the guard down for sure, but I am starting to see that trend of the models not lining up properly.
 
Im likely headed down to S GA today. Wish me luck and keep the people affected by last nights storms in your prayers.
 
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1016 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

GAC131-221530-
/O.CON.KTAE.TO.W.0034.000000T0000Z-170122T1530Z/
Grady GA-
1016 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 AM EST FOR GRADY
COUNTY...

At 1015 AM EST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Whigham, or near Cairo, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
Cairo around 1025 AM EST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Akridge, Reno, Princes Still, Peoples Still, Harrells Still, Pine
Park, Grady Co A/p, Capel, Nickleville and Elpino.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3096 8411 3092 8408 3088 8408 3087 8407
3085 8408 3084 8408 3070 8432 3077 8438
3104 8438 3108 8434 3108 8431
TIME...MOT...LOC 1515Z 234DEG 49KT 3083 8430

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

38-GODSEY
 
deltadog03 said:
I must say, I am a little (cautiously optimistic) pleased at looking at the latest models. NAM, 4KM NAM, HRRR.....There seems to almost be a disconnect with the CAPE and shear combo around here. It looks like NFL, and SGA def have the best parameters for this today. *I am south of macon, btw....I wouldn't let the guard down for sure, but I am starting to see that trend of the models not lining up properly.
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Chris So for us here in Southern SC, you don't think our chance is too big for Tornadic storms??? What your thoughts for us????
 
Feels like a regular January day here. I will be surprised if we get any severe weather in this area.
 
Test
Meteorologist1999 said:
Chris So for us here in Southern SC, you don't think our chance is too big for Tornadic storms??? What your thoughts for us????
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I think there is confusion here.

Yes, the TOR threat is real and can happen down your way. It's just parameters may not seem as "intense" as yesterday's soundings. Doesn't mean we won't have severe weather.

For example, here in CAE the cape and shear line up better than they did yesterday, but the PDS signature is not nearly as high. It only takes one tornado...
 
Shawn said:
Test

I think there is confusion here.

Yes, the TOR threat is real and can happen down your way. It's just parameters may not seem as "intense" as yesterday's soundings. Doesn't mean we won't have severe weather.

For example, here in CAE the cape and shear line up better than they did yesterday, but the PDS signature is not nearly as high. It only takes one tornado...
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Hello Shawn, Thanks Im around the Orangeburg area!!
 
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