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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

The nam is much colder vs the gfs and euro in tenn. and northern Mississippi . Those areas could see a nice front end thump of the moisture gets in there fast enough


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I really like this look with a 1040 HP over PA and precip inbound...
namconus_Td2m_seus_53.png
 
At this point we are going to want to watch what happens upstream. The NAM is showing a lot more snow/ice in Texas, Oklahoma and surrounding areas. If that verifies it will be a good sign for downstream. Tomorrow's NAM runs will be very interesting.
 
So if the due point is 20 is the temperature really going down to 20? With evaporation cooling
 
This is from NWS in Greenville, SC

We are approaching increases in the
official forecast QPF cautiously since even modest snow ratios from
these values would result in snow/sleet accumulations that might
be a once-in-a-generation event for parts of the Piedmont.
 
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