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Pattern November Nuances

Looking icy in Boone
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12Z GFS much colder through the end of next week and it shows a cold rain next Friday morning with snow possible in western NC/VA.
 
What's up with this guy posted this about an hour ago! I've not heard much chatter at all about this??
Southeast Weather Center



SNOW AND SLEET POSSIBLE

ALERT MODE

What: Snow/Sleet
Where: Western/Central NC, NW SC, Northern GA
When: 11/29/2018PM - 11/30/2018PM



We predicted the past two icy systems about 7 days before they occurred and we send accumulation maps out to our website members. We will send an update to members on Monday.

Become a website member and get early warning with accumulation amounts maps (Not posted on Facebook), daily personalized 3 day forecast, winter weather text alerts and more...
 
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What's up with this guy posted this about an hour ago! I've not heard much chatter at all about this??
Southeast Weather Center



SNOW AND SLEET POSSIBLE

ALERT MODE

What: Snow/Sleet
Where: Western/Central NC, NW SC, Northern GA
When: 11/29/2018PM - 11/30/2018PM



We predicted the past two icy systems about 7 days before they occurred and we send accumulation maps out to our website members. We will send an update to members on Monday.

Become a website member and get early warning with accumulation amounts maps (Not posted on Facebook), daily personalized 3 day forecast, winter weather text alerts and more...
Brick started a website!? Cool
 
Once again, the NAM verified with high temps in the area while the GFS was way off.

Forecasted high GFS: 58
NAM: 49
Actual: 48
 
That wedge definitely was much stronger than anticipated last night. I made it to 36 during the rain and had a friend in Gainesville who had several hours of rain at 33.1. Hopefully this stronger than predicted wedge situation happens throughout the winter for sure.
Yeah we were about 34 or 35 this morning. Just 3 degrees away from a different scenario. I'm sure there will be an instance this winter where they predict just above freezing and it goes below like several years ago. We're due.
 
Yeah we were about 34 or 35 this morning. Just 3 degrees away from a different scenario. I'm sure there will be an instance this winter where they predict just above freezing and it goes below like several years ago. We're due.

What was so strange is that temperatures were constantly forecasted to go up, but they kept dropping. I knew something was off when the wind picked up last night. We ended up 35 this morning and temps were supposed to be up into the mid 40s by then.
 
Once again, the NAM verified with high temps in the area while the GFS was way off.

Forecasted high GFS: 58
NAM: 49
Actual: 48

I was just looking at the NAM 3K for tomorrow and it doesn't even really show us getting out of the 50s tomorrow as opposed to the 60s being foretasted by the GFS/Locals. It actually keeps Atlanta right around 50 for tomorrow, unless I am missing something.
 
27 degrees this morning, high today 47, low tonight 23! Where’s the precip!???
 
Thick frost this morning. I’ve had to use the ice scraper twice already and it’s not even December
 
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