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Pattern August Rush

0FC116B6-9058-4316-97CA-AECBED5EE72F.png Today = dry
Yesterday = dry
That Thursday drought monitor= :(
 
SD said:
Better chance of organized bands are to the north across southern va and the nc border counties. As you go south it'll be multi cell clusters and storms forming along outflows

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Outflow boundary gonna mess things up? Just blew through here

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metwannabe said:
Outflow boundary gonna mess things up? Just blew through here

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It'll come, but this evening is likely not the time for wide-spread rain; though regionally you could probably stir the air with a spoon ...

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Brick Tamland said:
I have had a nice storm for the last 30 minutes.
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Brick,
In a little corner of the member map, 30 minutes without it this time of day is usually a blessing about 4 out of 7 ... :rolleyes:
Guess it depends on what is too much or too little given location ... ;)
 
pcbjr said:
It'll come, but this evening is likely not the time for wide-spread rain; though regionally you could probably stir the air with a spoon ...

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Actually it helped develop a nice line but it just missed me...
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It has been pouring rain for an hour. This storm is not moving.
 
Looks like another storm formed to my south over Raleigh and is coming this way, too.
 
metwannabe said:
Actually it helped develop a nice line but it just missed me...
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Can't help but wonder if something similar will happen here and I get shut out. Don't like that outflow hauling southward and the storms in wake moving east

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Getting some new development all around me, might get in on this yet...
SD said:
Can't help but wonder if something similar will happen here and I get shut out. Don't like that outflow hauling southward and the storms in wake moving east

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There’s still a decent line out west moving due east with the mcv.


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still doesn't appear to be much in the way of Atlantic tropical activity to follow through the end tonight's GFS run... but some BN temps might be in order... doubtful at this range, but hopeful:
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Ended up with 1.64, now hopefully dry out a little this week.

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Wonder if I can get a good storm 3 days in a row. Actually had another one roll through at 2 this morning. Looks like I am right on the line for the severe threat. Gotta love how it cuts right through the middle of Wake County.

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Brick Tamland said:
Wonder if I can get a good storm 3 days in a row. Actually had another one roll through at 2 this morning. Looks like I am right on the line for the severe threat. Gotta love how it cuts right through the middle of Wake County.

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I think it'll be difficult to muster anything today

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SD said:
I think it'll be difficult to muster anything today

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Yeah there is a 20% chance and that may be generous, that's some dry air in place.
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metwannabe said:
Yeah there is a 20% chance and that may be generous, that's some dry air in place.
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The line of storms in Va is somewhat interesting. Mid level dry air as you pointed out will be a killer but these storms may be embedded in an area of higher moisture that travels south with them. Would be surprised if a shower or storm made it to your area or bricks tonight as that outflow charges south

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Juat drove to the corner gas station to get some gas, and there is some killer lightning going on to my NW.
 
As a person working outside presently for a living, it was noticeably drier , humidity wise today!! And one more clear sign of fall, I’ve spotted the first fall onions
(Garlic) in the grass! Winter is right around the corner!
 
Tarheel1 said:
As a person working outside presently for a living, it was noticeably drier , humidity wise today!! And one more clear sign of fall, I’ve spotted the first fall onions
(Garlic) in the grass! Winter is right around the corner!
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It was 63 this morning which has been happening every couple of weeks a couple times here. Typically don't see that in the summer months here but I'm glad we are.
 
SD said:
The line of storms in Va is somewhat interesting. Mid level dry air as you pointed out will be a killer but these storms may be embedded in an area of higher moisture that travels south with them. Would be surprised if a shower or storm made it to your area or bricks tonight as that outflow charges south

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I saw the HRRR showing these earlier and didn't think they had a chance but they're still hanging on and Roxboro is getting hammered. That's the lightning Brick is seeing I'm sure

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5th day of rain here... in the hottest time of the entire summer.. about 2 inches here but some places have had double that. The airport has already surpassed its normal August rainfall and temps haven't been even close to normal highs. I hope this is a sign of things to come towards fall
 
metwannabe said:
I saw the HRRR showing these earlier and didn't think they had a chance but they're still hanging on and Roxboro is getting hammered. That's the lightning Brick is seeing I'm sure

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Storms are capitalizing on lingering mlcapes around 1500. This outflow may make it all the way to my area tonight.

Tomorrow is looking better as well

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Yeah, looks like a good storm rolling through southern Wake.
 
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