Pattern July Fries

[GeorgiaGirl]

The "big wet" hasn't exactly panned out, but the good thing is for July and the dog days of summer, it's seemingly been fairly mild for then. Mild enough that I dared go outside during the middle of the day and it wasn't really too bad.

 

[Tarheel1]

It’s official!!! The big wet 2, is on the way!

 

[ForsythSnow]

The "big wet" hasn't exactly panned out, but the good thing is for July and the dog days of summer, it's seemingly been fairly mild for then. Mild enough that I dared go outside during the middle of the day and it wasn't really too bad.

Well good news it it brought me back up to normal for the month from a slight deficit.

 

[stormcentral]

Graphics Credit; NOAA NWS CPC

 

[Tarheel1]

What could possibly go wrong??
I’m in the bullseye!

 

[Metwannabe]

View attachment 5500 What could possibly go wrong??
I’m in the bullseye!

Remember how that usually works out in Winter...... K.O.D

 

[Brick Tamland]

View attachment 5495 It’s official!!! The big wet 2, is on the way!

Which model is he talking about for the Carolinas? Yes, eastern NC got dumped on, but the models were way off with the widespread totals for the whole state.

 

[Brick Tamland]

We're getting way more rain today with no FFW than the last 48 hours when we were under one. Forecasting rain must be really, really hard.

Yeah kinda sucks for RAH, issue with FFW then thebest convergence is west and moisture is east. Then you lift the FFW and the convergence axis moves east and moisture transport is better.

Seems like it is getting as hard as forecasting snow here. Warm and sunny is about the only thing you can count on to get right.

 

[Avalanche]

Yes, the rain is either feast or famine in nature. It is backyard to backyard. Even within a 30 mile radius one can complain about too much rain and not enough. For me, it was not enough to clear any gutter or green any grass. Radar estimates can also be thrown out of the window. You can look on the radar and see yellow over my house, yet not a drop falls from it. Forecasters over estimate rainfall, as well as the radar itself. Somewhere close, some farmer is thankful for the abundance, while the majority of us get minimal rain in a very favorable situation that underproduced.

 

[Metwannabe]

Still some work to be done....

 

[BHS1975]

the euro is hinting at a tropical system next weekend,


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[Tarheel1]

Next week continues to look extremely wet for a lot of the Carolinas and GA, but W SC and NC, are in the bullseye, still! Too bad it’s still 3-5 days away from go time!

 

[Brick Tamland]

the euro is hinting at a tropical system next weekend,


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I hope not. I'm headed to the OBX on the 5th for a few days.

 

[GaWx]

Another gullywasher here in S town! It started about 3:45 PM and is really coming down.

Edit: I ended up with around 1.25-1.5" within one hour. I've received ~12-14" for this month, almost as much as I got in October of 2016 (near 15-16"), the month with the very wet Matthew! This month is one of the wettest of the last 20+ years here and the modesl give me another 1"+ the last 4 days of the month! However, the airport has received far less (only near 5" or near normal).

 

[Brick Tamland]

Here we go again. I think these graphics are misleading. The totals are going to be scattered and isolated like this week.

 

[Tarheel1]

GaWx:

 

[pcbjr]

View attachment 5504 GaWx:

Larry,
You OK?
What a thing to see when I turn the computer on for the 1st time since last Sunday.
Phil

 

[Tarheel1]

Found these also! Looks like EF0/1
damage, but scary!

 

[SD]

Severe tstorm warning.... nice
And about to turn it into a 0.00
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[Rain Cold]

Big Wet part Dud underway with a nice thundershower.