Tropical Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten

[Brent]

I'll give the CMC one thing, its consistent lol, almost a copy of the 0z

UKMET also similar to the 0z ending with a near hurricane in the Bahamas at 144

I'm not sure what's up with the GFS, it says PTC 9 will die soon too even though the NHC is forecasting a hurricane

 

[pcbjr]

Again in the Gulf, again a big hurricane, and again NOOOO!

I can shout louder than you on that one -- NOOOO!

 

[Storm5]

12z ukmet

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[Brent]

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1200 miles east of the Leeward Islands continues to
show signs of organization. Gradual development of this system is
possible during the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward
at near 20 mph. After that, upper-level winds are expected to
become less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

 

[Storm5]

12z euro isn't excited about this either lol


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[ForsythSnow]

12Z HWRF shows a bad solution.

 

[ForsythSnow]

Looking better than Harvey on sattelite.

 

[Metwannabe]

EPS and GEFS not at all excited about this....

 

[Storm5]

EPS and GEFS not at all excited about this....

Meanwhile the Canadian ensembles

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[Brent]

This looks really good I wouldn't be surprised if Irma appears soon

 

[Arcc]

Looking better than Harvey on sattelite.

Big convective burst over the center. If it persists it won't take much to get an upgrade with this one. Very organized cloud pattern.

 

[Brent]

apparently was a wind shift on a buoy

 

[Metwannabe]

And this fact is almost all guidance has this approaching the US so definitely one to watch... intensity forecast this far out are all but useless

 

[Brent]

I think ***IF*** it gets to the Bahamas in tact the environment should be really favorable

 

[Metwannabe]

Right over what is probably a llc

 

[Storm5]

I think ***IF*** it gets to the Bahamas in tact the environment should be really favorable

Spann says bad environment

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[pcbjr]

Spann says bad environment

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Everybody's talkin' and sayin' something ... Feel like I'm 19 years old, at a used car lot, trying to buy my 1st vehicle ...

 

[Brent]

Yeah I still remember when Spann said Ike would go east of Alabama too

 

[Storm5]

Yeah I still remember when Spann said Ike would go east of Alabama too

Hahahah LmAO I remember when he said the snow wouldn't stick and the city was shUT down for three days and he got stuck and had to WALK TO WORK


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[Brent]

Hahahah LmAO I remember when he said the snow wouldn't stick and the city was shUT down for three days and he got stuck and had to WALK TO WORK


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haha that was when the 2014 storm became the best snowstorm ever!!!