ForsythSnow
Moderator
The GFS keeps it an open wave and takes it into the Gulf where it does nothing. There is a low though as it approaches Texas.
I did ...^We all need to make sure Phil does NOT see this 18Z GEFS map!
Lol yeah I saw those maps. IF this forms, it's headed for Florida or the Gulf. I don't think that there is any other way it could go (except to shreds if it doesn't form). We got Harvey today and I think we will have PTC 10, TD 10, or Irma by this time tomorrow. This is "That system" that we don't exactly want. The top analog (yes analog FWIW), is showing Frederic from 1979 and that was a cat 4 hitting the US. IF it forms, sleepless nights for many are ahead indeed. Now let's all hope the Euro is right.^We all need to make sure Phil does NOT see this 18Z GEFS map!
By the way, I count 5 of those 20 members as solid hurricanes fwiw. Compare that to earlier GEFS: 2 on the 12Z, 1 on the 6Z GEFS, and 3 on the 0Z. Just about all of these have impact on FL and most then move up into other parts of the SE US. These members suggest that any possible major effects on FL would most likely be during the latter half of next week and then extend into the subsequent weekend further north. Get plenty of rest, folks, as you MAY need reserve for tracking this next week.
I keep thinking back to all the times the gefs busted with tropical development this year
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I keep thinking back to all the times the gefs busted with tropical development this year
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sooner or later something is going to happen lmao
Well, the GEFS put a 966 mb low into Tampa as a mean... Some members are just nasty...
Yep skewed by monster storms on a few members just like in winter, and you made up for my small text with a zoomed image of Florida itself.Skewed mean , most are very weak . Will be interesting to watch the trends
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Yep skewed by monster storms on a few members just like in winter, and you made up for my small text with a zoomed image of Florida itself.
Oh, and what about all the "we are almost at speed of 2005" and it's an "I" storm? Lots of hype and skewed info from hypists may come. I also expect Irma or TD by tomorrow.I'm expecting to have an advisory in the morning unless something drastic changes overnight
Just wait for the hype when the 5 day cone points at the Gulf /sarcasm
oh and next Thursday is the 25th anniversary of Hurricane Andrew as if that will help(it'll probably be close to Florida then)