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Pattern Magnificent March

:mad:This is going North. The NAM is North, see if the others follow suit! KNew it was too good to be true, the DC area not getting a big storm this year! :(:(
 
Had a pretty good storm roll through around midnight. Some nice thunder and lightning.

Euro looks less impressive with the snow.
 
I wonder if tropical systems will start early this year?
 
Good to see the snow is showing up. Looks a lot like the last storm.
 
Latest Euro is okay, but you NC folks are going to be a bit more disappointed. Looks better for GA
ecmwf_acc_snow_se_102.png
 
accu35 said:
I wonder if tropical systems will start early this year?
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I doubt it. We are trending towards Nino , and that’s not conducive for an active Atlantic. Plus I’d imagine the Atlantic should be below normal temp wise, based on all of the cold
 
Tarheel1 said:
I doubt it. We are trending towards Nino , and that’s not conducive for an active Atlantic. Plus I’d imagine the Atlantic should be below normal temp wise, based on all of the cold
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Yes, the nino may be what we are headed to, but I'm not sure if that's definite yet. The Atlantic, and especially the Gulf are above with a few pockets of cooler. Early storms tend to be in the NE Atlantic though.
anomw.3.15.2018.gif
 
Yes, but I think at a higher level. We need to see things trend a bit wetter over the next 48 hours. Still plenty of time, but we need to reverse the trend.
TW
 
Brick Tamland said:
Didn't we do this back and forth dance with the last snow?
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Last snow pretty much got better as we got closer. This may be a case of models losing it and bring it back as energy is in the “not well sampled” zone for a while. I don’t know.
 
Rain Cold said:
Last snow pretty much got better as we got closer. This may be a case of models losing it and bring it back as energy is in the “not well sampled” zone for a while. I don’t know.
Click to expand...

Yeah it did, but the shortwave also trended sharper/less progressive and more neutral tilt on both the GFS and NAM inside 72 hours...I feel given the latest trends that this goose is cooked, as I suspect the EPS to get worse for 00z.
 
Glad to see this severe weather isn’t going to miss N AL like all the snow did during the winter *sarcasm*

Geez, if it got any better for us I don’t know if I could stand it.
 
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