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Pattern January thread part deux

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At least this winter the mid Atlantic and northeast ain't getting much snow either.


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I don't see a reason to really worry that much. I like where we are headed, I doubt we have to go through another early spring period like we are in until...spring
 
The one thing I will say I don't like is the brevity of the SSW and the models taking the PV back poleward by day 16. The displacement of the PV should really help out in the meantime and with the warm area over Siberia into Ak at 10mb we may see the the atmosphere below that attempt to couple and cause a nice EPO/PNA....lots of questions, some potential.
 
This
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-EPO looks like it's in the books. But will that be enough? Time will tell. The PNA forecasts are all over the place so a + is not a foregone conclusion by any means. Time will tell but here's crossed fingers. Knock on wood. Have a beer until ...
 
The GFS is going to try again with this system around the same time period but I'm already seeing no reason for it to really come north. Maybe a bit.
 
Yep, it's juicy but it's dropping south again. If there's going to be any real move with this one, it's coming tomorrow or Monday (just like I said happened with Matthew). Otherwise it might not be to be.
 
SD said:
I don't see a reason to really worry that much. I like where we are headed, I doubt we have to go through another early spring period like we are in until...spring
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Or after Feb 5
 
Now the GFS is going to try again with the same look precip wise and now that this pattern has fully moderated, I bet it survives, and if it's delayed a bit, we may even see a massive phase (with what I'm seeing out of the west).
 
That monster clipper that is coming out of Canada looks like it's throwing a monkey wrench into this pattern and making it more transient than straight western ridge-eastern trough.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
Now the GFS is going to try again with the same look precip wise and now that this pattern has fully moderated, I bet it survives, and if it's delayed a bit, we may even see a massive phase (with what I'm seeing out of the west).
Click to expand...

Or maybe not. So it's not cold that is keeping the system from coming up, it's something else.
 
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