Probably a decent amount of wind and severe weather
Th only saving grace from a big mess with severe storms and gradient wind right now is cloud cover and rain. I hate to think about what may happen if for some reason we get some sunshine on Tuesday. If we can readily mix up to 850MB we will be in trouble even away from storms from the gradient wind. As for CAD the GFS gets rid of it for most of us, while the Euro keeps it for a larger area. That boundary may well be a big trouble spot with this system.Modeled wind fields could even get little low topped discrete showers spinning quickly. Increase CAPE values, and the Carolinas are in for one hell of an outbreak Tuesday.
This has been on the GFS for at least 2-3 days now. It is showing a small period of even higher winds as that big squall line goes through. Someone may see a 90+ gust or 2 if that line can become surface based.Gfs with widespread 50-60mph gusts that's impressive to me since the gfs usually doesn't go crazy with the wind
Is that background wind or wind associated with thunderstorms?
That's just the max gusts I got leafing through the gfs run at each time stamp. It's more convection for the Carolinas and va, gradient to the S and WestIs that background wind or wind associated with thunderstorms?
will it stop straight line though?Wedge will keep severe in check for most on this board.
Yes. It will "ride" over the wedge until the wedge breaks. The wedge basically extends the boundary layer a few hundred feet higher. The wedge will have it's own gusts from the northeast, east and southeast but won't be as strong. However, heavy convection can lead to downbursts that punch through the wedge. Elevated thunderstorms are cool to watch.will it stop straight line though?