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Tropical Hurricane Nate

At 36 landfall appears to the MS and strengthening as it moves in down to 985mb And slows just a bit as it nears the MS coast Little W of 12z run as well

48hr just S of Tuscaloosa

54hr little E of Huntsville
 
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Lynsy said:
That is a question that I have been wondering as well. Maybe some of those with better expertise can chime in on this.
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Without looking into the soundings a wild guess is they are expecting a large rain shield and the better tornado threat to be displaced east into Ga where the precip becomes more banded and you can generate some instability. Just a thought

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I love how the models transition nate from a lopsided to the east system to a left of track heavy rain event when it interacts with the trough. Flipping the proverbial bird to me

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BMX may need to adjust the greatest wind impacts further W jmho I think NHC may shift back little W with track also based off the last couple runs movement is more NNE vs hard NE turn...will just have to see what happens when they do the new graphics update little later this evening
 
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All in for the TABS
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Xtreme Weather said:
BMX may need to adjust the greatest wind impacts further W jmho I think NHC may shift back little W with track also based off the last couple runs movement is more NNE vs hard NE turn...will just have to see what happens when they do the new graphics update little later this evening
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The 5pm update did shift west from the 11am update

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Storm5 said:
The 5pm update did shift west from the 11am update

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Ok gotcha well maybe another 20-30mi W if these models continue to show more of a westward component want to ride along the 20/59 corridor or just west of that it seems and not hooking hard right


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994 mb vdm looks like the 983 mb was bad data

Definitely no rapid intensification yet
 
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