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Pattern Jarring January

pcbjr said:
1000+ Likes!
Been suggesting as much, but glad that someone who actually knows what they are talking about found this old broken clock right once today ... :p
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Lol, Grandfather clock?
 
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*Heat mongerer trigger warning*

Trends. Fab Feb looking ominous..
 

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Hmmm, some of them actually don't look too bad, plus the CFS isn't so reliable anyway. For now it feels like to me February might be back and forth like January was. Warm periods and cold periods.
 
GaWx said:
Despite the current warmup, it won't be nearly strong enough to prevent January from being the first colder than normal month since January of 2016 here. Finally, the streak is about to break!
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Now, Larry, let's just keep it broken ... like an old tool we no longer need in the shed ... ;)
 
deltadog03 said:
We should see the MJO move back into the good phases by early February
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Think early Feb is the start to the possible transition with cold coming to the E another week out maybe 2... anyway mid Feb at the latest think it is possible the Eastern CONUS goes back into the tank... Will be no shortage of cold air just a matter of does where it goes here out into Europe...

EURO mid range forecast
79EE6E64-CF03-4DB9-8457-4784615C46AF.gif
EURO MJO monthly interesting appears to be heading towards a pretty damn favorable cold setup... This is where we need it to be phase 8, 1 and 2 for cold potential at least
F3375942-4F44-467D-B3A8-75D8C687797C.gif
 
Xtreme Weather said:
Think early Feb is the start to the possible transition with cold coming to the E another week out maybe 2... anyway mid Feb at the latest think it is possible the Eastern CONUS goes back into the tank... Will be no shortage of cold air just a matter of does where it goes here out into Europe...

EURO mid range forecast
View attachment 3365
EURO MJO monthly interesting appears to be heading towards a pretty damn favorable cold setup... This is where we need it to be phase 8, 1 and 2 for cold potential at least
View attachment 3363
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Those are MJO's that need a knee bend if they happen ... :cool:
If only it could get inside while hanging a left ...
Thanks for the update!
 
We, Florida, GA and Carolina coasts , have all scored with no blocking in ATL and very little help in the PAC , save for a little PNA ridging. Get the cold back, we will iron out the wrinkles! ;)
 
Tarheel1 said:
We, Florida, GA and Carolina coasts , have all scored with no blocking in ATL and very little help in the PAC , save for a little PNA ridging. Get the cold back, we will iron out the wrinkles! ;)
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The PNA ridging has been more than just a little as it averaged near +0.75 in the first half of this month. That is the 10th highest PNA of the 69 January 1-15's since 1950 meaning a top 15 percentile PNA.
 
accu35 said:
Doesn't it feel weird not tracking a winterstorm now? Im bored :(
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I think you've been spoiled by the unusually active 3 big and widespread storms in just 1.5 months. There have been some entire winters with virtually nothing like any of these 3 storms outside of the mountains, NC, and TN. So, to me it doesn't feel weird at all. If anything, having 3 widespread major storms in just 6 weeks felt weird since it was unusual. KATL had its earliest 2nd 2"+ storm on record back to 1890. We should be thankful for this unusual high level of activity no matter what the rest of this winter has in store.
 
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