Brent
Member
CMC initialized at 987 mb
Comes close to Miami then goes north
Comes close to Miami then goes north
CMC initialized at 987 mb
Comes close to Miami then goes north
That’s interesting.UKMET Is way west actually gets into the Gulf and hits on the SW coast of FL
1200UTC 10.09.2017 84 23.2N 81.1W 941 83
0000UTC 11.09.2017 96 24.5N 81.4W 926 91
1200UTC 11.09.2017 108 26.1N 81.3W 923 84
0000UTC 12.09.2017 120 28.4N 81.0W 949 78
1200UTC 12.09.2017 132 30.8N 80.8W 959 69
0000UTC 13.09.2017 144 32.9N 80.4W 974 49
to be fair 12z was a way east outlierWow Canadian is way west of its 12Z run
Hard to say anything is an outlier when it's not even the same from one run to another.to be fair 12z was a way east outlier
great pointHard to say anything is an outlier when it's not even the same from one run to another.
UKMET plots, white line on the EC Is the prior run
So the storm is going to get stuck for a short time?Trough is Stronger and Further South!!
Euro is going to be interesting.. that's an understatementYeah I saw that. I just tweeted out a similar graphic (giving him credit of course for recognizing this) in that the trough over New England has been progressively slowing down on recent GFS runs. If this trend continues, it could nudge Irma further east than forecast after day 3-4... This could mean a higher probability for a strike on North or South Carolina and it still leaves the door open for a last second OTS route...
Euro gonna go up the West Coast of Florida and we will be back to square one between GFS and EuroEuro is going to be interesting.. that's an understatement