Cary_Snow95
Member
Yeah this 12z run curves out to sea
Uh oh, CMC is all aboard the GFS...
I personally am putting far more stock into the GFS and CMC than the Euro so far. The Euro is a bit slow this year, which is weird since the CMC and GFS are supposed to be worse. If the system does form, I will give the long range win to the GFS. If not, the Euro gets it.Time to see what the Doc has to say.
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I personally am putting far more stock into the GFS and CMC than the Euro so far. The Euro is a bit slow this year, which is weird since the CMC and GFS are supposed to be worse. If the system does form, I will give the long range win to the GFS. If not, the Euro gets it.
By and large, the GFS did great last year ... FWIWI personally am putting far more stock into the GFS and CMC than the Euro so far. The Euro is a bit slow this year, which is weird since the CMC and GFS are supposed to be worse. If the system does form, I will give the long range win to the GFS. If not, the Euro gets it.
Unfortunately and fortunately, it is trending stronger. Bad because of obvious reasons, but good because the stronger it is later on, or between the Bahamas and Antilles, the more it will recurve out to sea. High placement will be key also.
If you look at the CMC and GFS, the ridge is centered way up Northeast, much closer to Europe than America. In this case, the low would be drawn away from land IF a system pushed it out. In the CMC, no system pushes it out, but on the GFS it does. If the system veers further south early on and scrapes the Caribbean Islands, it would likely head for Florida, but if it is drawn northward more early on, it will be pulled north. Yes, systems don't always get pulled north, but in this case, if it strengthens faster, it will. If it holds off, it won't.Not always true, it is possible that the stronger system pumps the Ridge to the north and gets farther west
I agree. It's further north, and looks like it is going to be a really strong storm.This is mostly speculation but so far the 18z is a little amped. I expect a fish storm that goes nuts
Yeah there is no way this thing evolves this way. Already down to 955 hahahah18z =Fish . It's off its rocker with the strength
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Well one thing I would be a bit concerned about is the fact that it certainly will not evolve this way. A slower strengthening system has a better chance of getting far westPlease take this from an old time Fla boy ...
Based on the last few days ... From the GFS we've seen a strong Matthew type storm, a dissipating low, a whale of fish killer ...
Bottom line - the GFS is picking up on something, and something is really possible based on the GFS's historically ... but a long time to go ... yet very, very well worth watching ...
How much more can one agree ...Well one thing I would be a bit concerned about is the fact that it certainly will not evolve this way. A slower strengthening system has a better chance of getting far west