So I got curious and just listened to today’s JB Saturday Summary. As I said, he speculated about a cold E US winter last week. He was basing this on the warm water moving eastward to where he thought it would be this winter based on model projections. Well, surprise, surprise, today he said we’ll likely have La Niña next winter and thus a warm E US winter. I almost couldn’t believe he said that! Of course, he’ll likely back away from that warm E US winter idea before 12/1/20 sort of like he did this past November, when he cooled his forecast considerably.
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