Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

[SD]

Classic gotta be right on the line to get pasted, game of inches...

Hard to be optimistic when that line has been to your north or west for the better part of the last 5 years

 

[SD]

I still don’t think we are predominately sleet. A whiff is still my concern.

Geez, look at that air mass and boundary.

View attachment 35452View attachment 35453View attachment 35454

We aren't whiffing at this point unless you mean getting 0 snow/sleet and all rain. Hopefully by some miracle the NAM is over amplified and flattens out but the fact its still going NW gives me 0 confidence that happens

 

[Brick Tamland]

Wasn't done yet!

View attachment 35455

I won't back down. No, I won't back down.

 

[Rain Cold]

We aren't whiffing at this point unless you mean getting 0 snow/sleet and all rain. Hopefully by some miracle the NAM is over amplified and flattens out but the fact its still going NW gives me 0 confidence that happens

Yeah. Once the NW trend starts and the warm Nose shows up, it very rarely goes away. I wish for once we would just get an all snow snowstorm. How is that not possible anymore?

 

[SD]

I knew I should have just skipped the 0z runs and just checked in when I got up.

 

[Rain Cold]

I still don’t think we are predominately sleet. A whiff is still my concern.

Geez, look at that air mass and boundary.

View attachment 35452View attachment 35453View attachment 35454

I like those images, but there is always a warm nose.

 

[Disco_Lemonade]

We aren't whiffing at this point unless you mean getting 0 snow/sleet and all rain. Hopefully by some miracle the NAM is over amplified and flattens out but the fact its still going NW gives me 0 confidence that happens

Precisely if we're in the sleet now RDU is going to be mighty sore in about 24 hrs.

 

[Metwannabe]

I knew I should have just skipped the 0z runs and just checked in when I got up.

Yeah the NW trend has just about put me in the jackpot but now I'm nervous too, it may not be done... 42 hrs is an eternity with winter storms

 

[SD]

Yeah. Once the NW trend starts and the warm Nose shows up, it very rarely goes away. I wish for once we would just get an all snow snowstorm. How is that not possible anymore?

No idea man it's beyond frustrating, the rich get richer.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Precisely if we're in the sleet now RDU is going to be mighty sore in about 24 hrs.

Well, too bad you are in Southern Pines.

 

[SD]

Yeah the NW trend has just about put me in the jackpot but now I'm nervous too, it may not be done... 42 hrs is an eternity with winter storms

I think you will be fine just hard to see the warm nose getting much farther north.

 

[Metwannabe]

I think you will be fine just hard to see the warm nose getting much farther north.

I'm pulling for you man, maybe just maybe it's the NAM being too amped and overdoing that warm nose

 

[Ollie Williams]

I think some of you all have been spoiled from these awesome model runs. Verbatim, last week some of you would have sold a kidney for this snow.

 

[Shawn]

Lets not turn the discussion thread into a warning vs watch vs no watch vs no warning vs advisories debate, like what usually happens. NWS will isuse them or won't, it effects nothing that's going to happen or not, lol.

 

[Disco_Lemonade]

Well, too bad you are in Southern Pines.

Yea I'm always the first one to be reminded if you're in the jackpot zone >6 hrs out you're screwed.

 

[SD]

I'm pulling for you man, maybe just maybe it's the NAM being too amped and overdoing that warm nose

Thanks man I'd certainly rather be in your spot. You could get a decent hit here

 

[EV/WS]

Sounds like some folks are worried about the warm nose in Wake. Are you concerned about that?

“Some Folks” meaning YOU.???? LOL
I know... banter. Fun, nonetheless.

 

[tramadoc]

Brick is gonna kick some little kids kitten into traffic if he gets screwed out of snow.

 

[Brick Tamland]

I just don't like obvious trolls.

 

[SD]

I just don't like obvious trolls.

Well brick maybe some of us are tired of getting screwed year over year while the same people get major storm after major storm