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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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At this point considering I haven't had a flake IMBY since December 2018, I'll consider token flakes a win for RDU even though this should have potential to be something much more.
 
A lot of y’all won’t like what I’m about to say, but I’ve been feeling a member 05 vibe since yesterday. Weak overrunning wave shoved south. Sharp
cutoff to the north. Much like January 2011. The coastal does give my area cause for concern though, because there’s usually no trending away from a coastal. The good thing is that the Euro has both at 12z..so who knows

I'll certainly cash out on that kind of idea. Then give me some 60s and 70s in March instead of winter like weather and hopefully actually dry out some. I'd like for those normal tendencies to break.

I still don't want a cold March and I'll stick by that as I think we've gotten into a deal that's been tough to break (and if we had a more average March, maybe we can break it), but I'm certainly not all out on the idea of a winter storm in the last week of February or close. In fact, I said earlier I have a feeling we might see 1 more thing.
 
Only 13 more( counting 00z and 12z runs only ) left until go time ....


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I want to write out more about my predictions, but I'm not going to write much. I publish my own predictions on a weather forurm, but yet I get trolled instead of being asked questions about my predictions -- questions like, "why do you think the low would form there?" "why do you think there could be a phase?" How strong do think the low could get?
Some (not naming) are trolling me, I'm not the one trolling -- it's disdainful! And it's disdainful that some think I'm tripping -- which I already have said; I'm absolutely not tripping.

So what that I'm wrong on some of my predictions? I'm not going to get every single thing right -- at least I try and have the guts to publicize my own predictions. I actually have a good overall accuracy rating on my Facebook weather page, which has been up for 8 years.

About the 1 out of 200 year storm statement I said, the storm could turn out to be 1 out of a 200 year storm if there is 2 - 3 days of frozen precip, and amounts. Some places just may get feet of snow -- I can see that happening with overrunning, and put on top of that, an actual low pressure bringing more snow.

Sit back and watch the "magic" happen on the models....

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I want to write out more about my predictions, but I'm not going to write much. I publish my own predictions on a weather forurm, but yet I get trolled instead of being asked questions about my predictions -- questions like, "why do you think the low would form there?" "why do you think there could be a phase?" How strong do think the low could get?
Some (not naming) are trolling me, I'm not the one trolling -- it's disdainful! And it's disdainful that some think I'm tripping -- which I already have said; I'm absolutely not tripping.

So what that I'm wrong on some of my predictions? I'm not going to get every single thing right -- at least I try and have the guts to publicize my own predictions. I actually have a good overall accuracy rating on my Facebook weather page, which has been up for 8 years.

About the 1 out of 200 year storm statement I said, the storm could turn out to be 1 out of a 200 year storm if there is 2 - 3 days of frozen precip, and amounts. Some places just may get feet of snow -- I can see that happening with overrunning, and put on top of that, an actual low pressure bringing more snow.

Sit back and watch the "magic" happen on the models....

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Please just drop the historic part. Drop it to a decent snowstorm but no more than a foot at best and it'll be believable. If you want to make a prediction explain your process and show. Otherwise it's not a sound prediction.
 
You guys know by Sunday all of this will have disappeared, right? It’s the way this winter has gone. I’m gonna go ahead and call it. No boardwide snow event this winter.
You're forgetting last weekend clearly. The odds were against us but we prevailed better than modeled. Sure it wasn't board wide but it was a weak signal that got exponentially stronger
 
I can definitely foresee the models dropping this in the near future, I’m cautiously optimistic as this season has been full of several disappointments.
 
Have we seen the Euro show a storm for NC inside 7 days this winter? I think I remember the Euro and GFS showing storms 10 to 14 days out, only for them to go poof. But I don't recall the Euro showing one inside 7 days before this one.
 
Have we seen the Euro show a storm for NC inside 7 days this winter? I think I remember the Euro and GFS showing storms 10 to 14 days out, only for them to go poof. But I don't recall the Euro showing one inside 7 days before this one.
No fantasy runs. Though there were some runs from our Ana-front in November.


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You know what, it seems as if I'm not welcome here. The first time I came here, I was banned literally for no reason - the reason for being banned: it said, "for being a fuc**** c***


I gave this site a 2nd try and I created a new account, came back in 2018, and the same thing is happening. Everything that I post, gets "stomped" into the "dirt" and when I comment back to posters, at times things turn into arguments -- which gets a bit ridiculous.

If my prediction comes true, I'm sure you all would want me back....

I'm outta here....

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You know what, it seems as if I'm not welcome here. The first time I came here, I was banned literally for no reason - the reason for being banned: it said, "for being a fuc**** c***


I gave this site a 2nd try and I created a new account, came back in 2018, and the same thing is happening. Everything that I post, gets "stomped" into the "dirt" and when I comment back to posters, at times things turn into arguments -- which gets a bit ridiculous.

If my prediction comes true, I'm sure you all would want me back....

I'm outta here....

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Don't leave man, I enjoy your analysis.
 
You know what, it seems as if I'm not welcome here. The first time I came here, I was banned literally for no reason - the reason for being banned: it said, "for being a fuc**** c***


I gave this site a 2nd try and I created a new account, came back in 2018, and the same thing is happening. Everything that I post, gets "stomped" into the "dirt" and when I comment back to posters, at times things turn into arguments -- which gets a bit ridiculous.

If my prediction comes true, I'm sure you all would want me back....

I'm outta here....

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I actually enjoy your analysis and truly appreciate the time you take to explain your predictions. Please don't give up and leave.
 
I want to write out more about my predictions, but I'm not going to write much. I publish my own predictions on a weather forurm, but yet I get trolled instead of being asked questions about my predictions -- questions like, "why do you think the low would form there?" "why do you think there could be a phase?" How strong do think the low could get?
Some (not naming) are trolling me, I'm not the one trolling -- it's disdainful! And it's disdainful that some think I'm tripping -- which I already have said; I'm absolutely not tripping.

So what that I'm wrong on some of my predictions? I'm not going to get every single thing right -- at least I try and have the guts to publicize my own predictions. I actually have a good overall accuracy rating on my Facebook weather page, which has been up for 8 years.

About the 1 out of 200 year storm statement I said, the storm could turn out to be 1 out of a 200 year storm if there is 2 - 3 days of frozen precip, and amounts. Some places just may get feet of snow -- I can see that happening with overrunning, and put on top of that, an actual low pressure bringing more snow.

Sit back and watch the "magic" happen on the models....

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Nah dude you said it would form in the deep tropics and be a hurricane that has snow. If that doesn't happen your forecast is wrong, you can't claim something else. End of story.
 
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