Misc Winter Weather Support Group

[Stevo24]

Does anyone know why the models took so long to pick up on how crappy the PAC was gonna be? Weeklies never showed it for months.

 

[Tarheel1]

Gonna be tough to get the race in today!

 

[SD]

If this shortwave had less kicker and more amplitude we would be worried about lack of a high pressure and warm noses this morning

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Gonna be tough to get the race in today!View attachment 146696

The race has been rescheduled to 4pm tomorrow.

 

[SD]

Does anyone know why the models took so long to pick up on how crappy the PAC was gonna be? Weeklies never showed it for months.

They handled the mjo wrong the gfs from last Sunday was rolling right into p8/1

Now it's just a mess with really the most legit signal over the MC

 

[Stevo24]

They handled the mjo wrong the gfs from last Sunday was rolling right into p8/1View attachment 146698

Now it's just a mess with really the most legit signal over the MC

View attachment 146699

Have the models ever handled the MJO wrong in our favor? Seems like if the models are wrong it’s always in the way of being wrong about cold and never warm. Why is that.

 

[Tarheel1]

The race has been rescheduled to 4pm tomorrow.

I wonder if that means I could get some tickets??

 

[SD]

Have the models ever handled the MJO wrong in our favor? Seems like if the models are wrong it’s always in the way of being wrong about cold and never warm. Why is that.

Yes but not in the last half decade.

I have a number of theories if you are really interested to hear it bc otherwise it's a tldr post

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Gonna be tough to get the race in today!View attachment 146696

That’s what they get for stealing our precip

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

If this shortwave had less kicker and more amplitude we would be worried about lack of a high pressure and warm noses this morningView attachment 146697

Somebody would have had a chance. WNC could have got buried. Better problem to have than dry upper 20’s

 

[Stevo24]

Yes but not in the last half decade.

I have a number of theories if you are really interested to hear it bc otherwise it's a tldr post

Yes I’m really interested actually

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

Yes but not in the last half decade.

I have a number of theories if you are really interested to hear it bc otherwise it's a tldr post

I'd certainly love to hear it because I'm at a complete loss how it avoids the good phases during winter everytime regardless of Enso or SST's etc. What's going on with the Pac is past the point of ridiculous

 

[NCSNOW]

Yep. 30 degrees with a thick cloud deck is crazy. Torture

Told the Familia on way home from church, there was the second big chance we missed out on seeing a good snow this winter. Other than a fluke curveball, it'll be next winter at the earliest before we have another shot.
For me gonna go ahead and make the garden bigger, adding another raised bed and bout time to start the seedlings inside.

 

[FallsLake]

Gonna be tough to get the race in today!View attachment 146696

I'm heading down there in 9 days. Hoping for some nice weather to hit the Disney parks.

 

[Tarheel1]

You can get Daytona 500 tickets for like 40$ today! Y’all come on down

 

[Tarheel1]

I'm heading down there in 9 days. Hoping for some nice weather to hit the Disney parks.

Here today! Pouring rain, but tomorrow through Saturday looks delightful! Saw some 80s for the week you’re coming , enjoy!

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

There's definitely been a lot more cold days this winter than last winter.

 

[BHS1975]

I'd certainly love to hear it because I'm at a complete loss how it avoids the good phases during winter everytime regardless of Enso or SST's etc. What's going on with the Pac is past the point of ridiculous

Does it have to do with the large area of positive SST anomalies in the NPAC?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Tarheel1]

There's definitely been a lot more cold days this winter than last winter.

In AK, yes

 

[Chazwin]

There's definitely been a lot more cold days this winter than last winter.

Yeah this is true. After the cold snap at Christmas last year, it was pretty much a torch fest the rest of the way.