I dont know why, but I'm not feeling great about our chances through to when l I leave for vacation February 25th. EPS continues to show very little snowy outcomes through the end of its runs, and it seems like there will at least be a relaxation of the west coast ridging after that, (or worse).
GEFS snow mean/hits look great, but they are sprinkled over 3 different "event possibilities". So i don't feel good about three separate lottery ticket type chances. I'd rather have a 2 inch mean all showing up around one event.
End of rant.
Caveat being storm threats never really look "great" until we get inside of day 10(if that)... maybe i'm putting too much pressure on the pattern shaping up at the moment.