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Misc Winter Weather Support Group

Things are going from bad to worse. Not a drop of rain to be found for almost all of us through 384 on the GFS. Very warm too with 5-6 straight 80+ days. A 2016 repeat is looking very likely now. You can also throw out many winter forecasts too. We may have an EL Nino, but this pattern is extremely LaNina like. The analog is 1998-1999 for this.
What you thinking? Driest winter on record during an El Nino instead of a Nina?
 
What you thinking? Driest winter on record during an El Nino instead of a Nina?
Not the driest we have had, but drier than many people think it'll be. Something is overriding El Nino it looks like and this fall looks a lot like 1998-99 to me. If this holds up snow will be hard to find outside of the mountains, but ice may not. Late Dec 1998 had an ice event in the CAD area, and we got a major ice storm in early Jan 1999.
 
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