What you thinking? Driest winter on record during an El Nino instead of a Nina?Things are going from bad to worse. Not a drop of rain to be found for almost all of us through 384 on the GFS. Very warm too with 5-6 straight 80+ days. A 2016 repeat is looking very likely now. You can also throw out many winter forecasts too. We may have an EL Nino, but this pattern is extremely LaNina like. The analog is 1998-1999 for this.