But then you can't read all the douche baggery....
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Misc Winter Weather Support Group
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
Don’t know when the damn
pattern change is coming or SSW, but Jesus we need help up here! Only 15-25 degrees above normal for next 2 weeks
pattern change is coming or SSW, but Jesus we need help up here! Only 15-25 degrees above normal for next 2 weeks
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Part of me wishes this storm would die already.
packfan98
Moderator
Yeah. It’s too close to write off at this lead time. We seemingly get slightly favorable changes each run and different looks at the surface to keep things interesting. What’s your gut feeling right now?
Twister
Member
We chasing rain systems and highs in the 50s and 60s. Gonna be a fun Feb, but Spring is just around the corner. Time to break out the golf clubs and fishing rods. Another winter going down with no snow east of the mountains to be found.
Sent from my SM-S911U using Tapatalk
Sent from my SM-S911U using Tapatalk
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
You definitely can’t count this out yet but it seems like we’re stuck between a rock and a hard place in this setup. While I have some reservations about the lack of precip inland of the coastal low, many of the colder solutions are also drier with mass subsidence behind the trough, while the wetter ones mostly focus wintry precip over the mtns and are too warm. Even if all the synoptic pieces fall into place for us, it still might be a struggle to get much of anything here.
Alll that being said, given the uncertainties at play (Rex blocking type patterns are notoriously difficult to forecast in the medium range) there’s still a chance here. Heck, even as this trough moves out over me on Friday and Saturday, we still don’t have a good grasp on what the winds are gonna be like here because the EPS and GEFS + GEPS are so far apart setup-wise.
Brick Tamland
Member
The precip is coming inland. Just don't think it's going to sit off the coast. Had the same feeling before all the mets started sounding the alarms on the 11:00 news that night in January 2000. I remember looking at the radar before leaving work that night and thinking there's no way all that precip is going to miss us
Brick Tamland
Member
I am more inclined to think the problem with the system next week would be lack of cold air than lack of precip. Lack of precip is not something we have had this winter.
**pulls out the Merriam-Webster to look up sanguine**
Going to Florida the end of February. Going to do Disney World. Keep getting a feeling we'll (mid/upper SE) score a winter storm then. Not sure how I would feel, walking around the "Most magical place on earth" while it snows back home.
I'm in Utah the last week of Feb...I ain't worried about missing a snow event here in Raleigh.
Good we can see if either of you are bad luck.
Considering all the pattern chasing going on in the February thread, this should hit everyone in their jollies, but I'll be out of town 2/15 - 2/19. I'm pretty sure everyone on this board will agree if Mother Nature hates anyone here, we know who it is...may want to go ahead and fire up the thread for that time period.
I've been to Boone about every month this winter (own a house / remodeling). Been up there three times when it has snowed. It was really nice, but it's not the same as a low elevation (..home) snow.
I guess I need to leave to see if it's me too
I have to decide today or tomorrow whether to travel the week of 2/26 or 3/4. I feel like if I travel the week of 2/26 Raleigh will get 10-12" on 2/27 but if I move it to 3/4 or later it won't snow. Tough decision...
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Congrats mid-Atlantic
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
This post is very funny for to me I can't lie. Radiohead is that important I guess.