Misc Winter Weather Support Group

[$alt]

Hate to say it, but I am approaching 75% confidence in no substantial Winter weather for my back yard this season.

I hate to be missing out since this was the highest chance since 2010/2014.

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

February 5th. That's the day I guess it's still at least a glimmer of hope of maybe a flake or two. More importantly it's also the day Feb 20th will be in view on the ensembles, and if it still looks like this I'm at least walking to the cliff and most likely jumping. There is simply still no cold air showing up. Fab Feb is quickly going down the shitter
View attachment 144128

Question is who am I going to see at the bottom? Who's already jumped? @weatherfide @Stevo24 @SnowNiner @Jimmy Hypocracy @JHS

 

[weatherfide]

Question is who am I going to see at the bottom? Who's already jumped? @weatherfide @Stevo24 @SnowNiner @Jimmy Hypocracy @JHS

Yep...busy working on my hurricane bunker at the base of the cliff. I hear it's gonna be rock'n this year...

 

[Stevo24]

Question is who am I going to see at the bottom? Who's already jumped? @weatherfide @Stevo24 @SnowNiner @Jimmy Hypocracy @JHS

Iv jumped but it seems to be an endless loop where every time I jump I end up back on top of the cliff again. It’s a weird setup.

 

[weatherfide]

Iv jumped but it seems to be an endless loop where every time I jump I end up back on top of the cliff again. It’s a weird setup.

It's cause you keep jumping into the thermals...you got to time it right.

 

[TeachLesley]

Iv jumped but it seems to be an endless loop where every time I jump I end up back on top of the cliff again. It’s a weird setup.

It doesn’t work like it used to.

 

[KyloG]

Hate to say it, but I am approaching 75% confidence in no substantial Winter weather for my back yard this season.

I hate to be missing out since this was the highest chance since 2010/2014.

75%…that’s very optimistic. I’m like 90% for Raleigh. We are still in the mode of week 3 things looks better and that puts us at mid Feb.

 

[$alt]

I am going to resend my proposal to the weather governments to stop running sensible weather models past 5 days.
It's just a drain on computer resources that can be used to figure out a more accurate global pattern first.

 

[$alt]

75%…that’s very optimistic. I’m like 90% for Raleigh. We are still in the mode of week 3 things looks better and that puts us at mid Feb.

I can almost guarantee your area sees snowfall before the season end. It might even be in March, but it's coming!

 

[KyloG]

I am going to resend my proposal to the weather governments to stop running sensible weather models past 5 days.
It's just a drain on computer resources that can be used to figure out a more accurate global pattern first.

They should stop printing precip/snow maps day 7 and beyond.

 

[weatherfide]

They should stop printing precip/snow maps day 7 and beyond.

Nothing should be running past 144 hours. That would save everyone's reputation.

 

[SnowNiner]

Question is who am I going to see at the bottom? Who's already jumped? @weatherfide @Stevo24 @SnowNiner @Jimmy Hypocracy @JHS

No, I haven't jumped yet. Holding out a sliver of hope for mid February against my better judgement. But if the ensembles look like they do now next week, yeah, it'll probably be time to acknowledge this Feb is going to be like the last 8.

 

[SD]

Models should run past D5, next post day 16 map

 

[KyloG]

Nothing should be running past 144 hours. That would save everyone's reputation.

Well we need hemispheric modeled data past day 5 but not surface crap that we get know.

 

[Snowfan]

How many runs in a row can the NE press keep trending worse?
View attachment 144137

Yes

 

[Heelyes]

Question is who am I going to see at the bottom? Who's already jumped? @weatherfide @Stevo24 @SnowNiner @Jimmy Hypocracy @JHS

Stevo has a parachute, he jumps daily

 

[Stevo24]

Yes

This is the way

 

[Stevo24]

Stevo has a parachute, he jumps daily

I’m jumping as we speak

 

[$alt]

I am having fun watching which model is the first to truly cut the system. We are getting closer every run!

I mean technically, the ICON probably would have yesterday... but of course it's showing snow today so it's wrong.

 

[Chandler]

I am having fun watching which model is the first to truly cut the system. We are getting closer every run!

Probably the canadian