I’m Peter peckered out, there’s been 3 trackable events that have trended to garbage here this winter. The snow drought is getting to unbelievable territory. My optimism is going down exponentially
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Misc Winter Weather Support Group
- Thread starter Metwannabe
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weatherfide
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It's going to advect all that cold air in from the Bermuda Triangle! It's gonna be epic.
weatherfide
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Take a break, go do something else for a week, and then come back and you will see your NC snow storm. It's there, you just can't see it yet.
I’m with you Fro. It’s starting to hurt. Good chance we’re in the same boat next year. Gambler’s fallacy would be to think we’re somehow extra overdue for a storm when in reality our odds will be just as bad later this month as they were the previous February and the February before that. It just doesn’t want to snow here for some reason.
Benchmark surface low position on the JMA while the 850 line is in Pennsylvania. ? Maybe rates will overcome? ?When we lose both the NAVGEM and the JMA, you know it's time to hang it up, lol.
It been bitter @ 17z jest y_ ou weight in sea’
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I’d rather it cut than go off the Atlantic coast and it still rain because cold air doesn’t exist anymore in the Southeast except when it’s dry.
ATLwxfan
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Major snow melting in the plains and Great Lakes also doesn’t bode well. Places like Minneapolis facing their lowest snow totals in decades.
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Heelyes
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Kitty Bump
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NoSnowJoe
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Weather history, January 28, 1887
packfan98
Moderator
Any chance we can get a booming NAM run this week? We are getting down to only a few good ensemble members left with that glorious digital snow. I'm going to need this to hang on a few more days!
weatherfide
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I don't think so. This "chance" is going to be gone before it gets within 84 hours.
I still think it’s very possible NC and upstate is still in the game, all the models are close just a little wiggle room here and there it’s a big run again.
Somebody gonna get NAM’d later this week…
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February 5th. That's the day I guess it's still at least a glimmer of hope of maybe a flake or two. More importantly it's also the day Feb 20th will be in view on the ensembles, and if it still looks like this I'm at least walking to the cliff and most likely jumping. There is simply still no cold air showing up. Fab Feb is quickly going down the shitter
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robot model regressed into a mountain paste bomb ?
For whatever it's worth (which is not much), here's the 12z CFS at day 7:
