Misc Winter Weather Support Group

[weatherfide]

I've got to save this image. It is the strongest snow mean off the GEFS for my area this winter. I usually start paying attention and anticipate a somewhat elevated chance of real snow when I go above a 2" mean, however, I've already thrown in the towel, so it's just a fluke.

 

[rburrel2]

I don't wanna weenie out too much... but what you're ideally looking for with a long range 7-8 day threat:

1. Ensemble means hammer you: check
2. CMC is the least favorable looking model and has no support: check
3. GFS is delivering lots of cold but suppressed: check

Pinch me??

 

[rburrel2]

The only thing we've been missing is some big hitting Euro runs so far... and ideally those would be jackpotting the I-20 corridor right now.

 

[EastmanGAWX]

My location has over a one inch snow mean on a threat that is virtually a week away. I don’t know if I should get excited or prepare for excessive disappointment. For context, my location has not received a snow fall excessive of one inch since February 12, 2010 while areas latitudinally more South to the west have been absolutely pummeled. The only stretch of this magnitude in terms of a snow drought transpired in the 40’s/50’s. I might have to take a mental health this week in anticipation of the great Ocmulgee/Oconee River Region Region Snow Shield finally being eradicated.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

My location has over a one inch snow mean on a threat that is virtually a week away. I don’t know if I should get excited or prepare for excessive disappointment. For context, my location has not received a snow fall excessive of one inch since February 12, 2010 while areas latitudinally more South to the west have been absolutely pummeled. The only stretch of this magnitude in terms of a snow drought transpired in the 40’s/50’s. I might have to take a mental health this week in anticipation of the great Ocmulgee/Oconee River Region Region Snow Shield finally being eradicated.

Going to need temps a good 25-30 degrees colder than they are currently forecasting. Highs in the upper 50s won’t get it done.

 

[rburrel2]

My location has over a one inch snow mean on a threat that is virtually a week away. I don’t know if I should get excited or prepare for excessive disappointment. For context, my location has not received a snow fall excessive of one inch since February 12, 2010 while areas latitudinally more South to the west have been absolutely pummeled. The only stretch of this magnitude in terms of a snow drought transpired in the 40’s/50’s. I might have to take a mental health this week in anticipation of the great Ocmulgee/Oconee River Region Region Snow Shield finally being eradicated.

A one inch day 8 snow mean means you're in the game at least; and that's all you can ask for this point.

 

[Metwannabe]

Like the trends, love the ensemble mean but really like to see an op run show something good once we get within that 7 day window. Just tempering my expectations, ensembles have burned me before too

 

[EastmanGAWX]

Going to need temps a good 25-30 degrees colder than they are currently forecasting. Highs in the upper 50s won’t get it done.

I think that’s pretty self explanatory, the models producing that snow mean would obviously have the temperature profile to support the frozen precipitation.

 

[Broken024]

Moneys in the bank boys

 

[SD]

I think that’s pretty self explanatory, the models producing that snow mean would obviously have the temperature profile to support the frozen precipitation.

Not to mention any human forecaster isn't going to go wild at d7/8 and put out a 33 and snow forecast in this region without incredible support and even then most likely wouldn't

 

[Kitty Bump]

Moneys in the bank boys

Let not get to hatsy. Alen Hoffman not to exited yet he hoping it

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

 

[Broken024]

Let not get to hatsy. Alen Hoffman not to exited yet he hoping it

Too late. Deposit has been made.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Had to dig deep into the spank bank but I thought I’d seen that radar depiction before..you just can’t help but be a little hopeful

 

[SD]

Had to dig deep into the spank bank but I thought I’d seen that radar depiction before..you just can’t help but be a little hopeful
View attachment 143795View attachment 143796

Kind of sad that the 6z gfs at face value would be the biggest snow storm in over 2 years here with just the rain to snow behind the front

 

[rburrel2]

In an ideal world that back-door front precip would mesh together with the gulf low precip and go gangbusters on us.

 

[Webberweather53]

The Pamela Anderson pattern won’t let us down

 

[Rain Cold]

Kind of sad that the 6z gfs at face value would be the biggest snow storm in over 2 years here with just the rain to snow behind the front

It's been a good while since we've had it go that way. Usually, it's snow to ice to rain.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Not quite 7 days away for the potential storm and the trends are looking good right now. Just waiting for Lucy to pull away the football, though.

 

[Kitty Bump]

Not quite 7 days away for the potential storm and the trends are looking good right now. Just waiting for Lucy to pull away the football, though.

Lucky throw the ball down fields. It not q wise to giving up yet. @weatherwebber said to wait the big dogs? beside a look tike this make you licking you chaps