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Misc Winter Weather Support Group

I've got to save this image. It is the strongest snow mean off the GEFS for my area this winter. I usually start paying attention and anticipate a somewhat elevated chance of real snow when I go above a 2" mean, however, I've already thrown in the towel, so it's just a fluke.
 

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The only thing we've been missing is some big hitting Euro runs so far... and ideally those would be jackpotting the I-20 corridor right now.
 
My location has over a one inch snow mean on a threat that is virtually a week away. I don’t know if I should get excited or prepare for excessive disappointment. For context, my location has not received a snow fall excessive of one inch since February 12, 2010 while areas latitudinally more South to the west have been absolutely pummeled. The only stretch of this magnitude in terms of a snow drought transpired in the 40’s/50’s. I might have to take a mental health this week in anticipation of the great Ocmulgee/Oconee River Region Region Snow Shield finally being eradicated.
 
EastmanGAWX said:
My location has over a one inch snow mean on a threat that is virtually a week away. I don’t know if I should get excited or prepare for excessive disappointment. For context, my location has not received a snow fall excessive of one inch since February 12, 2010 while areas latitudinally more South to the west have been absolutely pummeled. The only stretch of this magnitude in terms of a snow drought transpired in the 40’s/50’s. I might have to take a mental health this week in anticipation of the great Ocmulgee/Oconee River Region Region Snow Shield finally being eradicated.
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Going to need temps a good 25-30 degrees colder than they are currently forecasting. Highs in the upper 50s won’t get it done.
 
EastmanGAWX said:
My location has over a one inch snow mean on a threat that is virtually a week away. I don’t know if I should get excited or prepare for excessive disappointment. For context, my location has not received a snow fall excessive of one inch since February 12, 2010 while areas latitudinally more South to the west have been absolutely pummeled. The only stretch of this magnitude in terms of a snow drought transpired in the 40’s/50’s. I might have to take a mental health this week in anticipation of the great Ocmulgee/Oconee River Region Region Snow Shield finally being eradicated.
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A one inch day 8 snow mean means you're in the game at least; and that's all you can ask for this point.
 
EastmanGAWX said:
I think that’s pretty self explanatory, the models producing that snow mean would obviously have the temperature profile to support the frozen precipitation.
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Not to mention any human forecaster isn't going to go wild at d7/8 and put out a 33 and snow forecast in this region without incredible support and even then most likely wouldn't
 
SD said:
Kind of sad that the 6z gfs at face value would be the biggest snow storm in over 2 years here with just the rain to snow behind the front
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It's been a good while since we've had it go that way. Usually, it's snow to ice to rain.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Not quite 7 days away for the potential storm and the trends are looking good right now. Just waiting for Lucy to pull away the football, though.
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Lucky throw the ball down fields. It not q wise to giving up yet. @weatherwebber said to wait the big dogs? beside a look tike this make you licking you chaps

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Call me crazy but it's a little too early for the GFS to be shifting north for my liking... even with the storm still well South of us.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Long tracker here. Expect some noise from your local Mets early this week. They’ll find a way to munk it up for us I’m sure. We need John Cesserich to come out of retirement to bring the mojo
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John was the best with winter storms. He knew not to weenie out with the forecast until go time. Justus is more of a weenie but a good Met.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Long tracker here. Expect some noise from your local Mets early this week. They’ll find a way to munk it up for us I’m sure. We need John Cesserich to come out of retirement to bring the mojo
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It's really good to have an actual system to track. Seems like it's been a while.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Long tracker here. Expect some noise from your local Mets early this week. They’ll find a way to munk it up for us I’m sure. We need John Cesserich to come out of retirement to bring the mojo
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We need Charlie Gertz to call it 2 and a half weeks prior to it happening...
Then it being glorious...
Like 88
 
Southern Track said:
John was the best with winter storms. He knew not to weenie out with the forecast until go time. Justus is more of a weenie but a good Met.
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Chris will find away to sound the alarm Wo sounding the alarm.
Throwing phrases out like..
We are keeping our ? on this situation.

Or the models are beginning to sound the alarms in this timeframe...
This type of hype.

I really enjoy his method of forecasting.
 
Billypg70 said:
Chris will find away to sound the alarm Wo sounding the alarm.
Throwing phrases out like..
We are keeping our ? on this situation.

Or the models are beginning to sound the alarms in this timeframe...
This type of hype.

I really enjoy his method of forecasting.
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I think Chris loves winter weather as much as us. John being from Kansas prolly saw his fill so couldn’t care less lol
 
Southern Track said:
John was the best with winter storms. He knew not to weenie out with the forecast until go time. Justus is more of a weenie but a good Met.
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He really was. I knew when he was hyping a storm it was time to get excited. I watched him up until I got satellite which then I switched over to watching Atlanta stations (didn't carry ch 4). I enjoyed watching him immensely.
 
For those that can look at models without the chasing the snow part, this is worrisome imo.

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