accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 8,415
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- 9,890
DangParker this would work lol
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
No real big changes, still seeing large-scale Q vector convergence pointing towards warm air (which favors ascent) & the jet streak to the north over the NE US is still very strong which means since the Carolinas are in the right entrance region, it argues for cyclonic vorticity advection, upper level divergence and thus ascent. All of which favor more precipitation further NW.
tractor girl
Member
Light rain starting to fall in Decatur just outside of Atlanta.
Now that’s what I call a deform band LOL.
Stormlover
Member
expected snowfall 0 everywhere?
Scroll to the bottom of the page and you will see a table that details the percentages for different tiers of potential snowfall for various cities.
Parker
Member
Parker this would work lol
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Wow, I would take that all day. It will be interesting to see these short range models now that we are getting close. I mean we are not asking for a huge shift. 50 miles or so and a more expanded precip shield may work out for us, but I am sometimes a major wishcaster.
Takes a train with a load of snow
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I would not feel too confident in any significant snowfall atm southeast of Statesville, Grensboro, & Roxboro in central NC...
Parker
Member
How well does the RGEM typically do?
Storm5
Member
Lol aren't we all? Yeah we just need about a 50 mile shift. Hell if not , it's Friday and I'll be taking the familu SE of our area to find it
bnathanb1982
Member
I am a new member, but have been watching this forum for a while. My question is, I noticed in the 2010 storm we had here in Ga, there was a "finger" of precipitation that shot out in front of the low. Is that normal in Miller A's and can we expect it if anything in this set up?
GFS is running.
Storm5
Member
The rgem is my favorite short term model. However the 48 hour rgem is like the 65 hour NAM. Its really good inside 24 hours But the 12z rgem run was headed for glory
GFS is drier tommorow.
Never mind, it’s better.
Never mind, it’s better.
Storm5
Member
What you meant to say was " I would not feel too confident in any significant snowfall atm south of Boston "
You are going to annoy Brick to no end with posts like this!
But I agree with you. I would feel much better if we had a solid source of cold, dry air being advected in. This is more marginal than last January's event. If we get an amped up system at all, many of us are going to be watching a nice, soaking rain fall on our Christmas lights.
We may get a flurry or two. Can't stand when mets say that.
As a snow contractor still not excited yet as we have all been down this road before. However i have aways seen if you look at amount figure half of that at best and you won't be dissapointed. Several more chances before Christmas.