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Wintry Winter Storm Dec 7-10

There's another pocket of a sleet/rain mix south of Selma, west of Montgomery moving east, nothing major, just cool as a little appetizer.
 
Our forecast for Friday night from local tv station here in Pensacola.

Friday night

Colder. Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain and snow in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows 28 to 34. North winds 5 to 15 mph.
 
RollTide18 said:
There's another pocket of a sleet/rain mix south of Selma, west of Montgomery moving east, nothing major, just cool as a little appetizer.
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Watching those reports will help show where the cold air is. It's been a real chore in this area to get cold air in deep enough when the rain is around. It's one of the reasons I'm taking all this with a grain of salt. Our saving grace is the boundary will hang around, because if it was a race, the rain always gets out first, lol. In this case a span of 20 or 30 miles can get you in or get you out of the wonderland. I'll be watching the temp reports with some real interest. The cold will get to you first, so I'm pulling for you ;) I've been in the bullseye the whole time, but I've been there before with sad results, more often than not, lol. But on the other hand I've seen much deeper snow here, than I ever did in midtown. It can pay off big being closer to the rain, but the cold has to over perform in terms of speed of coverage. So if ya'll score, my chances go way up, lol.
 
SD said:
The column is already saturated so there is no ability to move below freezing. We would be relying on cold air advection as the system passes to change to snow at the end. We could see areas flip to snow in heavier patches as precip rates wouldn't be as affected by the warm nose.

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I feel like the two phenomena that always never seem to materialize are 1) wet bulbing and 2) changeover


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Cary_Snow95 said:
Saw elsewhere that the 18z CMC backed off a little bit and wasn't as amped. The LP is further offshore and the 850s are much cooler
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It is a smidge better and even looks like a deform band forming as it pulls away.... keep hope alive

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I go away for 5 hours and come back and this place is deader than a doornail. I guess our big snow is no longer going to happen ?
 
SoutheastRidge said:
I go away for 5 hours and come back and this place is deader than a doornail. I guess our big snow is no longer going to happen ?
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When there's a storm to track this place is like a hurricane. In between model runs it can get calm like the eye of the storm but when business picks back up it really picks back up!!
 
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