Wintry Winter Discussion 2023/24

[Rain Cold]

Ask and ye shall receive!

Going to be another stinker for the SE. Probably end up +2 - +5 for D-M with AN precip. Why? Nino, plus whatever the background reason for the parade of wintertime -PNAs, cool upper-midwest patterns, routine MJO P3-6s, and neutral/+NAO regimes that we've been stuck in for a decade.

Maybe that dude on YouTube in the hoodie who loves cold easts and winter battle zones thinks differently, though.

Anyway, have at it!

 

[WXinCanton]

 

[SD]

Warmest winter in record for most of the region

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

I blame the warmer than normal oceans for the lackluster winters lately.

 

[Brent]

Can't be any worse than last winter here so there's that

 

[NoSnowATL]

Can't be any worse than last winter here so there's that

Oh yes it can

 

[Tarheel1]

Warmest winter in record for most of the region

How come y’all are in the battle zone every year!?? A battle for warm rain vs cold rain! ??

 

[Tarheel1]

With a pumped up southern jet , all y’all need is one big arctic shot to meat up with the Pineapple Express and then you’re golden!
I really don’t know what to expect up here, since my first 3 winters here were La Nina’s, so will be interesting to see. I’ve seen averages for above normal temps and below normal snowfall for Ninos here, but we will see

 

[Carolina Sky]

NC is always in the battle zone.

 

[Stevo24]

Whoever created this map had the easiest job ever. This is how each winter for the last 20 years has played out. If it ain’t broke don’t fix it.

 

[severestorm]

LOL

 

[cyclogent]

Analogs for this upcoming winter aren't too shabby.
The last 3 occurrences of a strong Nino following a multi-year Nina were 1957-58, 1982-83, and 2009-10.

 

[Bham 99]

Analogs for this upcoming winter aren't too shabby.
The last 3 occurrences of a strong Nino following a multi-year Nina were 1957-58, 1982-83, and 2009-10.

So we can have another la Nina in a year and a half?

 

[Brent]

Analogs for this upcoming winter aren't too shabby.
The last 3 occurrences of a strong Nino following a multi-year Nina were 1957-58, 1982-83, and 2009-10.

57-58 and 09-10 is among our snowiest winters ever

82-83 not so much although still way better than last year

 

[JHS]

1982-83 was nasty here in upstate SC A lot of snow to freezing rain and ending as rain events here, but we did get between 10-11 inches of pure snow on 3-24-1983. 2009-10 was not so good here as we basically got glanced by the big events in my backyard and completely missed the big one before Christmas 2009.

 

[Rain Cold]

JB bullish

 

[Fountainguy97]

First post since March. I can smell the shorter days approaching.? one of the most uneventful springs/summers since I've been here. Almost no thunder. But the temps have been great!

we cruising for a strong El Nino. I hope that doesn't blast us with too much southern energy. But hey I'm down for a change of pace after what 3 Nina's winters in a row?

 

[FallsLake]

JB bullish

One thing he said that was dead on, it takes one or two big hitters to make a winter. Heck for us one big 10" snow and most of us are above normal.

 

[Itryatgolf]

I know it's still early, but ideally we want central based niño and -qbo to have a chance at colder here. It definitely just takes one winter storm to put us over normals

 

[Tarheel1]

JB bullish

I haven’t seen him be that wrong since last year!?
Warm and dry up here for the Nino