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Wintry Winter 26-27
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
For those who celebrate, the averaged zonal winds at 10mb / 60N have flipped from westerly to easterly (now below zero at -0.1 m/s). The SSW probably doesn't become official until tomorrow as the zonal winds must average below 0 for a full day.
This is a hardcore -AO/-NAO on the Nov release of the UK Met Office GloSea6 (Global Seasonal Forecast System). I would consider the Euro and UK GloSea as the 2 best at predicting the NAO. Of course, who knows if it is correct this year.
Loop of the Oct & Nov runs at 500mb for Jan-Mar - the blues got blue-er! Suppressed storm track with -AO/-NAO.
Loop of the Oct & Nov runs at 500mb for Jan-Mar - the blues got blue-er! Suppressed storm track with -AO/-NAO.
The UK GloSea performed poorly last winter (I won't show it lol), but it did decent in the last big Nino (23-24). Here is what it forecasted in Nov 2023 for Jan-Mar 2024. You can tell that it likes this one better for us
