GolfishardIknowit70
Member
If it's pacific dominant, and we get the -epo/wpo, I like our chances. 2013-14 winter, we had +nao/ao alot if I recall correctly. It was definitely pacific dominant.
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Wintry Winter 2024-25 Discussion
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
GoDuke
Member
That’s all good and everything but just hit me up when there’s something legit to track. Although as we have all said before eventually things have to snap back the other direction from what we’ve been dealing with. Time will tell if it’s this year.
GoDuke
Member
just spreading a little hopium. We’ve had two snowless winters in a row and as long as records were kept that has never happened. So what are the chances we go three in a row? Gotta be pretty low right?
I would say they are low. But we have a record of proving stats wrong in a bad way around here. If it doesn’t snap back our way in the next few years then it could be permanent.
Brick Tamland
Member
WRAL is predicting 0 to 1 inch of snow this winter. Get ready for a blizzard!
Brent
Member
Honestly I haven't even looked at anyone's predictions here... They're always wrong anyway
It's notable that over the next couple of weeks, the N. American snow cover looks to be quite extensive as we head into meteorological winter.
18z Operational caveats, and of course much of this would have melted in the lower 48 but if it's even in the neighborhood, that's a stark difference from last year's debacle.
18z Operational caveats, and of course much of this would have melted in the lower 48 but if it's even in the neighborhood, that's a stark difference from last year's debacle.
lexxnchloe
Member
That has a Niña temp footprint look to it! Bring on the 50 below normal temps! Think that would put my high about -15 to -20
Brent
Member
I don't even care about arctic air honestly I just want one big snowstorm. Better than the glorified dusting of the last 2 years
GolfishardIknowit70
Member
A board wide winter storm would be good
Brent
Member
A board wide winter storm would be good
That was my issue last year see we got to 5 degrees yes but there was barely any moisture and it really ate up our snow totals. 2 years in a row same setup and we never got a better one(which I thought surely we would considering the cold was before February both years). That's my sole problem right now
Brick Tamland
Member
The hurricanes are using up all the energy for snow. We just need to drop some bombs on the hurricanes to break them up.
Man I really like that 12z GFS run. I knows its long range but it's nice to see back to back systems with HPs dropping out of the plains. Wouldn't take much to score a surprise for someone in the SE. Hopefully the trends continue in future runs. I've personally always loved the first ten days of December. That's when the seasons are changing and big systems develop.
wow
Member
That is a model run I haven't seen in YEARS. A persistent E Pac ridge building east.. neutral to neg NAO blocking. Let this be the end of it
wow
Member
And the Euro run confirms it. We've got motherf*ing ducks on the pond y'all!
Brick Tamland
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Imo, we’re getting a little sneak peak at what this winter might look like large-scale wise. Strong projection onto the low frequency tropical forcing pattern (green shading overlaying the purple contour) in week 2 yields a nice -EPO/+TNH (Alaskan ridge/Hudson bay vortex) pattern
