No doubt about it, the Euro/GFS/UKMET are all in the ballpark for showing the 00z GFS solution. If things would trend our way, for once this winter, we have that opportunity but the next couple days will reveal what type of threat this is, if any. Also, fwiw I would not be looking to the ensembles to lead the way with this type of complex phasing situation where higher model resolution would be key.Euro is getting better imoView attachment 113065
Yeah I'd expect the ens to merge the individual waves into just a full latitude positive tilt dudNo doubt about it, the Euro/GFS/UKMET are all in the ballpark for showing the 00z GFS solution. If things would trend our way, for once this winter, we have that opportunity but the next couple days will reveal what type of threat this is, if any. Also, fwiw I would not be looking to the ensembles to lead the way with this type of complex phasing situation where higher model resolution would be key.
What gives with these lows not forming and ramping up in the gulf. I’m tired of seeing this look.
Going to change a thousand times. I’m just worried about surface temperatures tbhWhat gives with these lows not forming and ramping up in the gulf. I’m tired of seeing this look.
What gives with the 90% complaining rating in the storm thread? It's what the Whamby thread is for.What gives with these lows not forming and ramping up in the gulf. I’m tired of seeing this look.
Upper trough has to phase in or it's likely going to be mostly rain.ICON marginal temp system with some backside snow on exit, not too far off from a bigger deal though imho
View attachment 113071
It's practically 1 step from a phase or is very close to one. Really a decent look that I don't want to lose or see go too far SW like a lot have this season. Hopefully we see some nice runs with the 12Z suite, especially the euro. We want to see some ens on both the GFS and Euro pick up on this too.Upper trough has to phase in or it's likely going to be mostly rain.