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Ukraine

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Quick math 26 BTGs (Battalion Tactical Groups) north and west of Kyiv, suspect morale, supply chain and terrain issues. BTG = ~600-800 soldiers, 2-4 reinforced companies each, mixture of tanks and other mechanized vehicles with artillery, mobile SAMs, etc.

The forces moving in to Kyiv from the east actually have a more mature supply chain (not shown above), but unconfirmed reports Russia may be establishing a logistics base at Chernobyl which would aid the group shown above.
 


Also, not sure if related at all to Ukraine, maybe indirectly somehow, or who is responsible but rocket attacks in Erbil Iraq. Erbil is in Kurdistan of Iraq and usually peaceful.
 
HSVweather said:


Also, not sure if related at all to Ukraine, maybe indirectly somehow, or who is responsible but rocket attacks in Erbil Iraq. Erbil is in Kurdistan of Iraq and usually peaceful.
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Probably the Iran-backed militias in Iraq who is responsible for that
 
Ballistic missiles launched from inside Iran at US consulate seems like something out of the ordinary, even for this part of the world.

 
Shaggy said:
They've been threatening revenge for the solimeini incident for a long time.

Whichever base fired those rockets should catch a cruise missle party.
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Thing about Iran they retaliate we retaliate they retaliate it be back and forth with no end game.


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Chatter from a Marine Corps officer we treated DJI drones as the enemy. Comm links back to China, drones must be isolated from the internet with heavily regulated / filtered software updates.
 
DJI blocked an option for Ukrainian drone operators from locating other nearby drone operators, short range IR, last week. Kinda like a nest.
 
Did not know this existed until today, Swedish Air Force S102B Korpen, yellow ^

www.wearethemighty.com

How Swedish aircraft challenge Russians over the Mediterranean

On May 1, 2018, a Swedish Air Force S102B Korpen has started operating in the eastern Med.The aircraft is one of two SwAF's S102B Korpen aircraft, heavily-modified Gulfstream IVSP business jets used to perform ELINT missions. These aircraft …
www.wearethemighty.com www.wearethemighty.com
 
The OODA Loop. Interesting take, observation.

www.foxnews.com

Putin successfully implementing proactive US developed strategy while US lags behind: expert

A former U.S. intelligence official tells Fox News that Russia has embraced a similar plan to an American military concept known as the OODA loop which enables one side to react to unfolding events more rapidly and efficiently than an opponent.
www.foxnews.com www.foxnews.com

"If we want to ever beat the Russians we have to flip the tables," Koffler said. "We can’t be in that reactive mode because it doesn’t work. Putin already factored in all the sanctions and sanction-proofed his economy."

Koffler added that the sanctions are hurting the United States more than Putin at this point and that the United States didn’t precalculate how sanctions would hurt the U.S. economy in the long term.
 
^ independent sources are preferred, open source domain which in many ways is decentralized from opinion, but in some ways agree, Putin still has many cards up his sleeve, which at this point in muddy.

"The Biden administration, and in general the Washington national security apparatus, have been in a reactive mode in regard to Russia," Koffer explained. "Right now, in regards to the current conflict, but also in general. It seems like Putin has been doing things and then we react. We are thinking ‘how do we respond’ but why do we need to respond? Why didn’t we do a deterrent in the first place?
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After Covid and internal civil discourse, let’s be honest, not many of us saw this coming 12-18 months out.
 
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